沙田 · 2020-07-12
第 2場
2020-07-12沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M L Yeung策騎、K H Ting訓練的VIGOR CHAMP勝出，贏出SH。MONKEY JEWELLERY獲得亞軍；HELAKU KNIGHT獲得季軍。1.6倍大熱門MIGHTY VALOR跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | VIGOR CHAMP B 1.09.24 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 24.0 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | MONKEY JEWELLERY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 7.2 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | HELAKU KNIGHT CP-/H2/XB2 N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 1 | 44.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | MIGHTY VALOR Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 5 | 1.6 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | BRILLIANT H/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 8 | 44.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | HAPPY TIME TT B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 3 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | LUCKY PUZZLE B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE H/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 11 | 42.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | REGENCY POET B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 12 | 39.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | SIMPLY FLUKE H/P/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 8.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 14 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | GLORIOUS BUDDY T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 10 | 221.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 13 | GREAT SON V/TT H N Wong · P O'Sullivan | H N Wong | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 110.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | WONDERFUL TIMES XB/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 9 | 189.0 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MIGHTY VALOR | 35.1% | 2.85 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | MONKEY JEWELLERY | 18.4% | 5.44 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 10.4% | 9.61 | 10 |
| 4 | 10 | REGENCY POET | 6.9% | 14.51 | 9 |
| 5 | 13 | GREAT SON | 5.6% | 17.81 | 13 |
| 6 | 11 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 5.2% | 19.40 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | LUCKY PUZZLE | 4.2% | 23.96 | 7 |
| 8 | 14 | VIGOR CHAMP | 3.7% | 27.13 | 1 |
| 9 | 4 | HAPPY TIME | 3.2% | 31.09 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE | 2.3% | 43.28 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | BRILLIANT | 1.7% | 58.60 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | HELAKU KNIGHT | 1.6% | 61.12 | 3 |
| 13 | 12 | GLORIOUS BUDDY | 1.0% | 102.07 | 12 |
| 14 | 7 | WONDERFUL TIMES | 0.8% | 131.49 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 245.5
PLACE
1 91
2 19.5
14 41.5
QUINELLA
2,14 628
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 298
1,14 941
2,14 150.5
TIERCE
14,2,1 36,054
TRIO
1,2,14 6,629
FIRST 4
1,2,5,14 1,407
QUARTET
14,2,1,5 71,310
1ST DOUBLE
7/2 23.5
7/14 439.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 33