沙田 · 2020-07-12
第 6場
2020-07-12沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的SKY FIELD勝出，贏出4。CLASSIC POSH獲得亞軍；THE ABRAXAS獲得季軍。頭馬以1.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SKY FIELD TT 1.08.76 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 1.4 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | CLASSIC POSH C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 6 | 29.0 | 4 |
| 3 | 14 | THE ABRAXAS B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | DIAMOND PEGASUS B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 14 | 76.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | HERO STAR N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 8 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | GOLDEN LINK Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 2 | 6.2 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | WAR LORD E C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 10 | 75.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | HAPPY VICTORY B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 12 | 51.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | REWARDING TOGETHER B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | TIGER GLARE H T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 9 | 170.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | TELECOM MISSILE H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 3 | 286.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH B/TT C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 11 | 207.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | WINNING WAYS H/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 4 | 117.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | HARD PROMISE CP1 K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 13 | 81.0 | 16-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GOLDEN LINK | 24.7% | 4.04 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | SKY FIELD | 22.7% | 4.41 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 17.0% | 5.88 | 9 |
| 4 | 14 | THE ABRAXAS | 8.2% | 12.27 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | HERO STAR | 6.7% | 14.87 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | HAPPY VICTORY | 4.5% | 22.08 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | CLASSIC POSH | 4.3% | 23.01 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | PRAWN YEAH YEAH | 2.7% | 37.06 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | WAR LORD | 2.4% | 41.70 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | WINNING WAYS | 2.3% | 43.69 | 13 |
| 11 | 5 | HARD PROMISE | 1.8% | 57.13 | 14 |
| 12 | 11 | DIAMOND PEGASUS | 1.5% | 64.80 | 4 |
| 13 | 8 | TIGER GLARE | 0.6% | 169.17 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | TELECOM MISSILE | 0.5% | 186.76 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 14
PLACE
1 38.5
3 11
14 27.5
QUINELLA
1,3 114.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 48
1,14 180
3,14 37.5
TIERCE
3,1,14 1,091
TRIO
1,3,14 340
FIRST 4
1,3,11,14 3,750
QUARTET
3,1,14,11 27,570
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 11.5
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
7/1 305.5
7/3 76