沙田 · 2020-07-12
第 3場
2020-07-12沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CIRCUIT HASSLER勝出，贏出1-1/4。LEADING FORTUNE獲得亞軍；ROMAN IMPERO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門SMART CHARADE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CIRCUIT HASSLER 後段發力 B/H/TT 1.21.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 4.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | LEADING FORTUNE 後段發力 B/E N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 2 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | ROMAN IMPERO 後段發力 B- K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 1 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SMART CHARADE 後段發力 B/H/TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 7 | 3.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | MIGHTY POWER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | MY WINNER 後段發力 B A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 14 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SOLAR POWER 後段發力 M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 12 | 29.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | GOOD SHOT XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 27.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | SMART WONGCHOY 早段領放 H/P/XB C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 5 | 8.1 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | JOYFUL CHEERS TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 3 | 230.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | SPICY GRILL 後段發力 B1/H1/TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 10 | 36.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | PRIME TIME B/H H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 13 | 272.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | RED ZOFFANY SR/TT C Wong · K L Man | C Wong | K L Man | 6 | 239.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 0 | WIN FOR YOUTH T H So · K H Ting | T H So | K H Ting | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SMART CHARADE | 20.6% | 4.87 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | LEADING FORTUNE | 19.4% | 5.15 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | CIRCUIT HASSLER | 15.8% | 6.35 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | GOOD SHOT | 10.1% | 9.94 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | MY WINNER | 5.9% | 17.06 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | SMART WONGCHOY | 5.8% | 17.23 | 10 |
| 7 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 5.3% | 18.86 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | MIGHTY POWER | 5.1% | 19.66 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | SOLAR POWER | 3.9% | 25.82 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | ROMAN IMPERO | 3.6% | 27.48 | 3 |
| 11 | 14 | SPICY GRILL | 2.7% | 36.61 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | RED ZOFFANY | 0.7% | 137.49 | 14 |
| 13 | 11 | PRIME TIME | 0.6% | 165.50 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | JOYFUL CHEERS | 0.6% | 175.24 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 47.5
PLACE
2 17.5
3 18
10 62
QUINELLA
2,3 99
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 40
2,10 165.5
3,10 157.5
TIERCE
3,2,10 3,123
TRIO
2,3,10 642
FIRST 4
2,3,10,12 615
QUARTET
3,2,10,12 14,393
2ND DOUBLE
14/2 166
14/3 1,076.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 30