沙田 · 2021-05-02
第 11場
2021-05-02沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、D A Hayes訓練的FANTASTIC TREASURE勝出，贏出2-1/4。COMPASSION SPIRIT獲得亞軍；UNCLE STEVE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FANTASTIC TREASURE 後段發力 1.21.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 2 | 2.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | UNCLE STEVE 後段發力 SR/XB/CP2 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | KASI FARASI 後段發力 J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 4 | 6.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | C P BRAVE 後段發力 K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 6 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 13 | SUPER ELEGANCE 後段發力 B/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 9 | 74.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | WIN WIN 後段發力 B R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 8 | 24.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | ALL FOR SOUTH 早段領放 B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 5.3 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | LEAP OF FAITH B- A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 10 | 21.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | APACHE PASS H Bentley · P O'Sullivan | H Bentley | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 89.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | AMAZING NEWS TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 12.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | ROYAL AGILITY TT2 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 7 | 182.0 | 13-3/4 |
| — | 11 | BEAUTY SPIRIT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | KASI FARASI | 28.3% | 3.54 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 26.4% | 3.79 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | ALL FOR SOUTH | 12.3% | 8.15 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | UNCLE STEVE | 7.5% | 13.29 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | AMAZING NEWS | 5.5% | 18.16 | 11 |
| 6 | 10 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 5.4% | 18.64 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | C P BRAVE | 4.2% | 23.75 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | LEAP OF FAITH | 4.2% | 23.97 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | APACHE PASS | 2.5% | 39.29 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | WIN WIN | 2.0% | 49.45 | 7 |
| 11 | 13 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 1.3% | 78.49 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | ROYAL AGILITY | 0.5% | 198.20 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 24
PLACE
1 13
2 29.5
10 26.5
QUINELLA
1,10 149
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 44.5
1,10 56
2,10 145.5
FORECAST
1,10 228
TIERCE
1,10,2 1,418
TRIO
1,2,10 433
FIRST 4
1,2,9,10 301
QUARTET
1,10,2,9 4,586
全部彩池（另 5 項）
10TH DOUBLE
11/1 78.5
11/10 83
3 PICK 1
A1 17.5
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,11/1,2,10 6,115
SIX UP
3,5/4,10/1,8/2,3,5/1,11/1,10 8,853
5/4/8/3,5/11/1 3,245,738
4 [A Badel] —
TREBLE
3,5/11/1 265
3,5/11/10 540