沙田 · 2021-05-02
第 4場
2021-05-02沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、F C Lor訓練的JADE PHOENIX勝出，贏出N。RHAPSODY獲得亞軍；SMART WONGCHOY獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門SMART WONGCHOY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | JADE PHOENIX B 1.09.06 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 9 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 4 | RHAPSODY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 5.2 | N |
| 3 | 12 | SMART WONGCHOY H A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 4 | 3.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | TRONIC MIGHTY C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 3 | 5.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | TEAM GOODLUCK TT1 V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 6 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | MEGA BONUS B1/XB1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 13 | 88.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 14 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 10 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | MONSTER KAKA TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 8.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | SHADOW RUNNER B B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 9.4 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | VICTORY MORE H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 149.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | EASY FORTUNE M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 8 | 187.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | FULL SAILING B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 7 | 211.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | JUMBO ENGINE H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 14 | 216.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 5 | ALMIGHTY PEGASUS C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 12 | 245.0 | 17-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MONSTER KAKA | 21.7% | 4.61 | 8 |
| 2 | 12 | SMART WONGCHOY | 17.9% | 5.60 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | RHAPSODY | 16.0% | 6.25 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | SHADOW RUNNER | 13.3% | 7.52 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | JADE PHOENIX | 9.9% | 10.08 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | MEGA BONUS | 4.9% | 20.60 | 6 |
| 7 | 14 | VOYAGE STAR | 4.8% | 20.99 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | TRONIC MIGHTY | 4.6% | 21.92 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | TEAM GOODLUCK | 3.2% | 30.99 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | VICTORY MORE | 1.4% | 71.22 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | JUMBO ENGINE | 0.9% | 109.33 | 13 |
| 12 | 13 | FULL SAILING | 0.6% | 154.99 | 12 |
| 13 | 6 | EASY FORTUNE | 0.5% | 201.16 | 11 |
| 14 | 5 | ALMIGHTY PEGASUS | 0.4% | 272.49 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 109.5
PLACE
2 27.5
4 19
12 14.5
QUINELLA
2,4 284.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 82.5
2,12 61
4,12 35.5
FORECAST
2,4 521
TIERCE
2,4,12 1,368
TRIO
2,4,12 165
FIRST 4
2,4,9,12 376
QUARTET
2,4,12,9 13,528
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 31.5
3RD DOUBLE
6/2 1,767.5
6/4 98.5