沙田 · 2021-05-02
第 3場
2021-05-02沙田第3場，Class 5，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、D E Ferraris訓練的MCMUNIGAL勝出，贏出1-1/4。THE JOY OF GIVING獲得亞軍；AMAZING AGILITY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.9倍大熱門JIMMU跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MCMUNIGAL 後段發力 B/TT 2.01.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 2 | 21.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | THE JOY OF GIVING 後段發力 B/H A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 4 | 6.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | AMAZING AGILITY 後段發力 SR/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 3 | 5.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SOCCER MASTER 早段領放 B/TT R Maia · W Y So | R Maia | W Y So | 1 | 36.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | CHEERFUL STAR 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | JOY N FUN LEGEND 後段發力 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 5 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | AEROSONIC P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 31.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | SKY GEM 後段發力 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 14 | 7.3 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | JIMMU SR Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 8 | 4.9 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | GOOD DAYS B- C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 6 | 10.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE CP-/H/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 13 | 15.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE 後段發力 B T Piccone · K H Ting | T Piccone | K H Ting | 12 | 39.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC B/XB/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 26.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | STAR WIN P-/SR1/CP2/TT1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 10 | 21.0 | 16 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | JIMMU | 17.0% | 5.89 | 9 |
| 2 | 10 | SKY GEM | 16.2% | 6.19 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | AMAZING AGILITY | 14.4% | 6.92 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | GOOD DAYS | 9.9% | 10.10 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 | CHEERFUL STAR | 7.6% | 13.11 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | THE JOY OF GIVING | 7.4% | 13.60 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | JOY N FUN LEGEND | 6.7% | 14.85 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 4.3% | 23.46 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 3.3% | 29.94 | 12 |
| 10 | 14 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC | 3.1% | 32.54 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | STAR WIN | 2.9% | 35.03 | 14 |
| 12 | 1 | AEROSONIC | 2.7% | 36.87 | 7 |
| 13 | 8 | SOCCER MASTER | 2.3% | 43.78 | 4 |
| 14 | 6 | MCMUNIGAL | 2.3% | 43.82 | 1 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 212.5
PLACE
5 19.5
6 56
12 22
QUINELLA
6,12 733
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 170.5
5,12 51.5
6,12 229.5
FORECAST
6,12 1,427
TIERCE
6,12,5 7,717
TRIO
5,6,12 1,010
FIRST 4
5,6,8,12 4,756
QUARTET
6,12,5,8 135,864
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
3,6/6 352.5
3,6/12 34.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 23.5
A1 —