沙田 · 2021-05-02
第 6場
2021-05-02沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、P F Yiu訓練的LOVE ME MORE勝出，贏出1-1/4。SUPER RED DRAGON獲得亞軍；BRILLIANT CHINA獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.3倍大熱門GRACYLOVE跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LOVE ME MORE 後段發力 1.21.56 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 1 | 35.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | SUPER RED DRAGON 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 12 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | BRILLIANT CHINA 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 14 | 113.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | GREEN ENVY 早段領放 V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 8.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | BEST FOR YOU 後段發力 B H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 2 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | VUKAN B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | GRACYLOVE Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 11 | 3.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | MASTER HERO XB/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 10 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SUNNY BABY 後段發力 B1 A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 7 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | GARLIC HERO E/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 13 | 9.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | A LA KING C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 6 | 19.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | FIGURES TWO R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 5 | 205.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 8 | JUNGLE BLAZE TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 187.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | HAPPY FORTUNE P/TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 4 | 144.0 | 21-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GREEN ENVY | 19.9% | 5.03 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | GRACYLOVE | 19.0% | 5.27 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | VUKAN | 15.4% | 6.49 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | MASTER HERO | 12.8% | 7.81 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | A LA KING | 8.5% | 11.83 | 11 |
| 6 | 10 | SUNNY BABY | 5.7% | 17.51 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | BEST FOR YOU | 4.9% | 20.44 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.90 | 2 |
| 9 | 13 | GARLIC HERO | 3.4% | 29.66 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | BRILLIANT CHINA | 2.0% | 49.28 | 3 |
| 11 | 5 | LOVE ME MORE | 1.4% | 71.55 | 1 |
| 12 | 8 | JUNGLE BLAZE | 1.0% | 97.52 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | HAPPY FORTUNE | 0.9% | 110.54 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | FIGURES TWO | 0.6% | 175.89 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 356.5
PLACE
3 35.5
5 96.5
12 211.5
QUINELLA
3,5 3,305.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 757.5
3,12 1,185
5,12 3,247.5
FORECAST
5,3 5,013
TIERCE
5,3,12 357,346
TRIO
3,5,12 50,125
FIRST 4
3,5,7,12 55,880
QUARTET
5,3,12,7 1,379,111
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 30
5TH DOUBLE
3/3 71.5
3/5 508