沙田 · 2021-05-02
第 2場
2021-05-02沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的KA YING SPIRIT勝出，贏出SH。CORRIENTHES獲得亞軍；AUGUST MOON獲得季軍。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | KA YING SPIRIT B1 0.56.26 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 2.6 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | CORRIENTHES SR B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 3 | 31.0 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | AUGUST MOON B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 62.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR CP1/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 5 | 7.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | GOODMANSHIP B1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 7.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | DRAGON BABY TT C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 9 | 5.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | ISLAND SUNSHINE PC C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 11 | 7.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | KABI SMART H1/TT1 H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 10 | 58.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | BLAZING BEAT B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 13 | 68.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | ENJOY MY LIFE TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 7 | 110.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | FOURAWARRIOR K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 8 | 12.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | INTENTION H1 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 1 | 130.0 | 13-1/4 |
| — | 0 | E BROTHER A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | — | — | — |
| — | 3 | SEVEN HEAVENS J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DRAGON BABY | 21.0% | 4.76 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | KA YING SPIRIT | 20.3% | 4.94 | 1 |
| 3 | 14 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR | 18.0% | 5.55 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | ISLAND SUNSHINE | 8.1% | 12.37 | 7 |
| 5 | 13 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 7.5% | 13.41 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | GOODMANSHIP | 5.4% | 18.46 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | KABI SMART | 5.1% | 19.66 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | CORRIENTHES | 3.8% | 26.16 | 2 |
| 9 | 5 | FOURAWARRIOR | 3.1% | 32.20 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | INTENTION | 2.9% | 34.37 | 13 |
| 11 | 2 | BLAZING BEAT | 2.2% | 46.30 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | AUGUST MOON | 1.9% | 52.11 | 3 |
| 13 | 10 | ENJOY MY LIFE | 0.8% | 132.98 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 26
PLACE
4 66
6 14.5
8 137
QUINELLA
4,6 412
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 141.5
4,8 1,498
6,8 220
FORECAST
6,4 657
TIERCE
6,4,8 16,354
TRIO
4,6,8 4,062
FIRST 4
4,6,8,14 6,933
QUARTET
6,4,8,14 135,373
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
7/3,6 4,863
7/4 5,325.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 17.5