沙田 · 2021-05-02
第 7場
2021-05-02沙田第7場，Group 3，途程2400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、C S Shum訓練的BUTTERFIELD勝出，贏出SH。CHARITY FUN獲得亞軍；RELIABLE TEAM獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.3倍大熱門RUSSIAN EMPEROR跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BUTTERFIELD 後段發力 TT 2.28.14 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 28.0 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | CHARITY FUN 後段發力 TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 2 | 3.5 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | RELIABLE TEAM 早段領放 V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 35.0 | N |
| 4 | 12 | PACKING WALTHAM 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 8.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | PANFIELD TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 3 | 5.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SAVAQUIN 後段發力 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 11 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 7 | 3.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | COLUMBUS COUNTY 後段發力 TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 9 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS 後段發力 B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 10 | 38.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR XB/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 6 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | HO HO KHAN B/TT1 C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 4 | 20.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | CHEFANO CP B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 78.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CHARITY FUN | 24.8% | 4.03 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | PANFIELD | 24.4% | 4.10 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 12.2% | 8.19 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR | 8.5% | 11.81 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | SAVAQUIN | 8.3% | 12.08 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | BUTTERFIELD | 5.4% | 18.38 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | RELIABLE TEAM | 3.9% | 25.74 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS | 3.2% | 31.10 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | PACKING WALTHAM | 3.1% | 32.76 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 3.0% | 33.60 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | HO HO KHAN | 2.6% | 38.36 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | CHEFANO | 0.7% | 149.30 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 287.5
PLACE
4 63.5
8 95.5
10 15
QUINELLA
4,10 442.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 584.5
4,10 140
8,10 194.5
FORECAST
4,10 986
TIERCE
4,10,8 30,046
TRIO
4,8,10 4,026
FIRST 4
4,8,10,12 6,485
QUARTET
4,10,8,12 209,606
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 35.5
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
5/4 5,478.5
5/10 324
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,6,12/Any Combination/Any Combination 46
WINNING TRAINER
B1 31.5
B2 —
B4 —
B3 —