Sha Tin · 2021-05-02
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly TT 2.28.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 28.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | CHARITY FUN Closed strongly TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 2 | 3.5 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | RELIABLE TEAM Led early V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 35.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | PACKING WALTHAM Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 8.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | PANFIELD TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 3 | 5.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SAVAQUIN Closed strongly V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 11 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 7 | 3.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 9 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 10 | 38.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR XB/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 6 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HO HO KHAN B/TT1 C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 4 | 20.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CHEFANO CP B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 78.0 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-02 was Group 3 over 2400m, run on GOOD going. BUTTERFIELD, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with CHARITY FUN second and RELIABLE TEAM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite RUSSIAN EMPEROR finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHARITY FUN | 24.8% | 4.03 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | PANFIELD | 24.4% | 4.10 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 12.2% | 8.19 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR | 8.5% | 11.81 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | SAVAQUIN | 8.3% | 12.08 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 5.4% | 18.38 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | RELIABLE TEAM | 3.9% | 25.74 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS | 3.2% | 31.10 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | PACKING WALTHAM | 3.1% | 32.76 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | HELENE LEADINGSTAR | 3.0% | 33.60 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | HO HO KHAN | 2.6% | 38.36 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | CHEFANO | 0.7% | 149.30 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 287.5
PLACE
4 63.5
8 95.5
10 15
QUINELLA
4,10 442.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 584.5
4,10 140
8,10 194.5
FORECAST
4,10 986
TIERCE
4,10,8 30,046
TRIO
4,8,10 4,026
FIRST 4
4,8,10,12 6,485
QUARTET
4,10,8,12 209,606
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 35.5
6TH DOUBLE
5/4 5,478.5
5/10 324
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,6,12/Any Combination/Any Combination 46
WINNING TRAINER
B2 —
B3 —
B1 31.5
B4 —