Sha Tin · 2021-05-02
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-02 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. THE HULK, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/2, with ALL IN MIND second and STORM WARNINGS third. The 2.4 favourite HURRY HURRY GAIN finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THE HULK 1.08.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 5 | 8.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | ALL IN MIND H/XB/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 1 | 8.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | STORM WARNINGS CP/SR/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 8.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 9 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | SKY SHOW TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 5.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | SOARING TOWER A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 2 | 9.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | HEZA BEAUTY E C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 8 | 44.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | ENCOURAGED B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 75.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | SICOMORO B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 10 | 98.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | HERCULES B/XB/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 4 | 88.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | HURRY HURRY GAIN Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 2.4 | 17 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HURRY HURRY GAIN | 39.6% | 2.53 | 11 |
| 2 | 1 | ALL IN MIND | 15.7% | 6.37 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | SKY SHOW | 10.3% | 9.74 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | THE HULK | 8.7% | 11.53 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | STORM WARNINGS | 7.9% | 12.72 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | SOARING TOWER | 7.5% | 13.40 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | HEZA BEAUTY | 3.9% | 25.71 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT | 2.9% | 34.49 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | HERCULES | 2.6% | 39.19 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | SICOMORO | 0.7% | 148.29 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | ENCOURAGED | 0.5% | 219.28 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 83
PLACE
1 25
3 25.5
8 17.5
QUINELLA
1,8 318.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 78.5
1,8 84
3,8 79.5
FORECAST
8,1 647
TIERCE
8,1,3 3,512
TRIO
1,3,8 561
FIRST 4
1,3,8,11 1,406
QUARTET
8,1,3,11 32,404
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,10/1,3,8 319,686
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 39.5
7TH DOUBLE
4/1 288
4/8 3,507.5