Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2021-05-02

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.56
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 LOVE ME MORE Closed strongly 1.21.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu 1 35.0 1-1/4
2 0 SUPER RED DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · W Y So 12 12.0 1-1/4
3 0 BRILLIANT CHINA Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · T P Yung 14 113.0 2-1/4
4 0 GREEN ENVY Led early V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 9 8.5 2-1/2
5 0 BEST FOR YOU Closed strongly B H Bentley · Y S Tsui 2 20.0 2-1/2
6 0 VUKAN B Shinn · P O'Sullivan 3 3.5 3
7 0 GRACYLOVE Z Purton · D J Hall 11 3.3 3-1/2
8 0 MASTER HERO XB/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz 10 11.0 4-3/4
9 0 SUNNY BABY Closed strongly B1 A Hamelin · D A Hayes 7 11.0 6-3/4
10 0 GARLIC HERO E/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip 13 9.7 6-3/4
11 0 A LA KING C Schofield · K H Ting 6 19.0 8-1/2
12 0 FIGURES TWO R Maia · A T Millard 5 205.0 10
13 0 JUNGLE BLAZE TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 8 187.0 10-3/4
14 0 HAPPY FORTUNE P/TT M L Yeung · L Ho 4 144.0 21-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-02 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LOVE ME MORE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with SUPER RED DRAGON second and BRILLIANT CHINA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite GRACYLOVE finished 7th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LOVE ME MORE—2. SUPER RED DRAGON+1.25L3. BRILLIANT CHINA+2.25L4. GREEN ENVY+2.5L5. BEST FOR YOU+2.5L6. VUKAN+3L7. GRACYLOVE+3.5L8. MASTER HERO+4.75L9. SUNNY BABY+6.75L10. GARLIC HERO+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick GREEN ENVY (19.9%) finished 4th — the winner LOVE ME MORE was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GREEN ENVY 19.9% 5.03 4
2 0 GRACYLOVE 19.0% 5.27 7
3 0 VUKAN 15.4% 6.49 6
4 0 MASTER HERO 12.8% 7.81 8
5 0 A LA KING 8.5% 11.83 11
6 0 SUNNY BABY 5.7% 17.51 9
7 0 BEST FOR YOU 4.9% 20.44 5
8 0 SUPER RED DRAGON 4.6% 21.90 2
9 0 GARLIC HERO 3.4% 29.66 10
10 0 BRILLIANT CHINA 2.0% 49.28 3
11 0 LOVE ME MORE 1.4% 71.55 1
12 0 JUNGLE BLAZE 1.0% 97.52 13
13 0 HAPPY FORTUNE 0.9% 110.54 14
14 0 FIGURES TWO 0.6% 175.89 12
GREEN ENVYGRACYLOVEVUKANMASTER HEROA LA KINGSUNNY BABYBEST FOR YOUSUPER RED DRAGONGARLIC HEROBRILLIANT CHINALOVE ME MORE — wonJUNGLE BLAZEHAPPY FORTUNEFIGURES TWO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 356.5

PLACE

3 35.5

5 96.5

12 211.5

QUINELLA

3,5 3,305.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 757.5

3,12 1,185

5,12 3,247.5

FORECAST

5,3 5,013

TIERCE

5,3,12 357,346

TRIO

3,5,12 50,125

FIRST 4

3,5,7,12 55,880

QUARTET

5,3,12,7 1,379,111

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 30

A2 —

5TH DOUBLE

3/3 71.5

3/5 508