Sha Tin · 2021-05-02
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS Closed strongly TT 1.34.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 1 | 2.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 9 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly V Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 10 | 7.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MORE THAN A HORSE Closed strongly B/SR C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | DANDY YEARS Led early B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 8.6 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | FREE FOAL M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 13 | 8.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 14 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RED IMPACT Closed strongly CP- C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 11 | 108.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 2 | 35.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | MULTIPLE STAR TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 5 | 269.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | DIAMOND PIXIU M L Yeung · P F Yiu | M L Yeung | P F Yiu | 7 | 221.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | TELECOM ELITE B B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 64.0 | 17 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2021-05-02 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. ULTRA EXPRESS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A T Millard, won by 1-1/4, with COPARTNER ERA second and ROBOT WARRIOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 37.2% | 2.69 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 19.3% | 5.18 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | DANDY YEARS | 17.3% | 5.77 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | FREE FOAL | 6.2% | 16.23 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 4.2% | 23.84 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 3.5% | 28.79 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 3.3% | 29.89 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | MORE THAN A HORSE | 2.7% | 37.68 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD | 2.2% | 46.32 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 1.7% | 58.78 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | RED IMPACT | 1.1% | 87.05 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | TELECOM ELITE | 0.6% | 154.26 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | DIAMOND PIXIU | 0.4% | 258.48 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | MULTIPLE STAR | 0.3% | 389.88 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 24
PLACE
3 13.5
6 22
12 42.5
QUINELLA
3,6 51.5
3,12 111
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 44
3,12 77
6,12 197
FORECAST
3,6 84
3,12 180
TIERCE
3,6,12 937
3,12,6 1,089
TRIO
3,6,12 526
FIRST 4
3,4,6,12 1,238
QUARTET
3,6,12,4 8,053
3,12,6,4 8,205
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,12/3,6,12 4,540
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 18
4TH DOUBLE
2/3 341
2/6 78
2/12 150