沙田 · 2021-10-10
第 4場
2021-10-10沙田第4場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由M Chadwick策騎、R Gibson訓練的SOCCER MASTER勝出，贏出3/4。BRAVE POWER獲得亞軍；ONE STEP AHEAD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.7倍大熱門ONE STEP AHEAD跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SOCCER MASTER 後段發力 B-/TT 1.22.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 3 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 13 | BRAVE POWER 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 11 | 8.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | ONE STEP AHEAD 後段發力 B- J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 1 | 2.7 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | EVEN KEEL 後段發力 B/XB L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 13 | 7.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | TELECOM ELITE 後段發力 H K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 33.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | JOY AVENUE A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | FOX CHEUNGER 後段發力 B/TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 8 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | WIN TECH 後段發力 TT1 K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | ALLOY STAR 後段發力 B/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | CIGAR BUDDIES 早段領放 B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 4 | 38.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | LITTLE PLAYER B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 2 | 8.1 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 14 | 12.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | NOBLE MAN E-/B/H1/TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 10 | 45.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | KELMIMI WINS SR-/XB/CP1/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 9 | 46.0 | 20-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 25.8% | 3.87 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | EVEN KEEL | 12.4% | 8.07 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | ALLOY STAR | 10.5% | 9.50 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | LITTLE PLAYER | 9.1% | 11.01 | 11 |
| 5 | 6 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD | 7.0% | 14.24 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | FOX CHEUNGER | 6.8% | 14.70 | 7 |
| 7 | 13 | BRAVE POWER | 6.4% | 15.57 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | JOY AVENUE | 5.4% | 18.51 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | SOCCER MASTER | 4.2% | 24.04 | 1 |
| 10 | 14 | KELMIMI WINS | 2.7% | 36.77 | 14 |
| 11 | 3 | TELECOM ELITE | 2.7% | 37.21 | 5 |
| 12 | 8 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 2.4% | 40.90 | 10 |
| 13 | 2 | WIN TECH | 2.4% | 41.37 | 8 |
| 14 | 9 | NOBLE MAN | 2.1% | 47.53 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 194.5
PLACE
10 60.5
12 13
13 28
QUINELLA
10,13 886.5
QUINELLA PLACE
10,12 123.5
10,13 268.5
12,13 56.5
FORECAST
10,13 2,261
TIERCE
10,13,12 7,751
TRIO
10,12,13 832
FIRST 4
10,11,12,13 1,448
QUARTET
10,13,12,11 55,450
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,11,12/10,12,13 39,952
3 PICK 1
A3 26
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
3/10 905
3/13 68