沙田 · 2021-10-10
第 3場
2021-10-10沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由M L Yeung策騎、K H Ting訓練的THE ANOMALY勝出，贏出3/4。STUNNING IMPACT獲得亞軍；BEST FOR YOU獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THE ANOMALY 一路領先 1.22.24 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 3.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | STUNNING IMPACT 後段發力 B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | BEST FOR YOU 後段發力 B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 4 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | ROMANTIC TROVE TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 1 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | KING'S TROOPER 後段發力 CP-/TT V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 5 | 55.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | EL JEFE 後段發力 P-/XB/TT- A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 8 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | THE JOLLY 後段發力 CP/XB/E1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 31.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | AURORA PEGASUS TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | NOBLE STEED 後段發力 B H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 2 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | GOOD BEAUTY B-/CP2/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 11 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | GOLDEN FOUR 後段發力 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 12 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | WAH MAY LUCK B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 7 | 82.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | MAKE IT TURBO M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 13 | 100.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | DRAGON BABY E1/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 14 | 23.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THE ANOMALY | 15.9% | 6.29 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | ROMANTIC TROVE | 8.7% | 11.44 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | DRAGON BABY | 8.5% | 11.72 | 14 |
| 4 | 5 | MAKE IT TURBO | 8.5% | 11.83 | 13 |
| 5 | 8 | THE JOLLY | 8.3% | 12.02 | 7 |
| 6 | 12 | STUNNING IMPACT | 8.1% | 12.34 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | GOLDEN FOUR | 7.8% | 12.83 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | AURORA PEGASUS | 6.5% | 15.28 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | EL JEFE | 6.4% | 15.57 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | BEST FOR YOU | 5.9% | 17.03 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | GOOD BEAUTY | 5.1% | 19.48 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | KING'S TROOPER | 5.1% | 19.77 | 5 |
| 13 | 2 | NOBLE STEED | 3.8% | 26.64 | 9 |
| 14 | 14 | WAH MAY LUCK | 1.4% | 73.43 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 30.5
PLACE
3 14
11 39.5
12 14
QUINELLA
3,12 61.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 90
3,12 28.5
11,12 86.5
FORECAST
3,12 107
TIERCE
3,12,11 978
TRIO
3,11,12 283
FIRST 4
3,6,11,12 622
QUARTET
3,12,11,6 8,622
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
5/3 61
5/12 25.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15.5