沙田 · 2021-10-10
第 2場
2021-10-10沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由K H Chan策騎、C H Yip訓練的SPARKLING KNIGHT勝出，贏出1-3/4。AMAZING ROCKY獲得亞軍；CARRY THE DIAMOND獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SPARKLING KNIGHT B- 0.56.10 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 14 | 2.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | AMAZING ROCKY H C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 3 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 11 | 8.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SHOWINA B K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 4 | 42.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SMART IDEA H/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 9 | 5.5 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | CHICKEN DANCE CP-/B2 A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | MY INTELLIGENT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 12 | 123.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | FIGHTING STAR CP-/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 1 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN H1/XB1/TT1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | LUCKY TREASURE H/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 7 | 117.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SPICY SO GOOD B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 8.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | BOYS PARTY XB J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 8 | 21.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | FANTASY SPRING H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 2 | 205.0 | 19-1/4 |
| 14 | 14 | HONEY BEE B/XB1/TT V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 6 | 89.0 | 20-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AMAZING ROCKY | 16.2% | 6.19 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | SMART IDEA | 15.4% | 6.49 | 5 |
| 3 | 13 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 11.0% | 9.08 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN | 9.9% | 10.13 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | CHICKEN DANCE | 9.8% | 10.23 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | SPICY SO GOOD | 8.9% | 11.29 | 11 |
| 7 | 3 | FIGHTING STAR | 7.3% | 13.61 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | SHOWINA | 6.3% | 15.97 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 5.9% | 16.95 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | BOYS PARTY | 3.5% | 28.49 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | MY INTELLIGENT | 3.5% | 28.96 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | LUCKY TREASURE | 0.9% | 108.02 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | HONEY BEE | 0.8% | 123.12 | 14 |
| 14 | 10 | FANTASY SPRING | 0.7% | 141.46 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 25
PLACE
1 57.5
5 14
13 21
QUINELLA
1,5 284.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 122.5
1,13 210.5
5,13 46.5
FORECAST
5,1 443
TIERCE
5,1,13 2,366
TRIO
1,5,13 826
FIRST 4
1,4,5,13 3,561
QUARTET
5,1,13,4 44,821
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
2/1 307
2/5 387
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17.5
A3 —