沙田 · 2021-10-10
第 6場
2021-10-10沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的HARMONY WIN WIN勝出，贏出2-1/2。BREEZE OF SPRING獲得亞軍；SUPER MISSION獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.4倍大熱門BREEZE OF SPRING跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HARMONY WIN WIN 後段發力 SR/XB 1.21.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 7.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | BREEZE OF SPRING 後段發力 TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 2.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | SUPER MISSION 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 12 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | STREET SCREAM 早段領放 H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 14 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 14 | SUNNY BABY M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | CITY LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 7 | 32.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | GENERAL WINNER 後段發力 H1 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 13 | 113.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | SOLAR POWER A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 8 | 5.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | TURQUOISE ALPHA CP A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 21.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | EMERALD SPUR B B Shinn · P F Yiu | B Shinn | P F Yiu | 6 | 22.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | FLYING MIGHTY 後段發力 TT C Schofield · D J Hall | C Schofield | D J Hall | 4 | 40.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | BLAZING BEAT CP/XB H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 1 | 54.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | MAGIC SUPREME CP/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 3 | 39.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 38.6% | 2.59 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | HARMONY WIN WIN | 11.1% | 8.97 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | SOLAR POWER | 7.4% | 13.50 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPER MISSION | 7.2% | 13.90 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | STREET SCREAM | 5.1% | 19.48 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 5.0% | 20.08 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | EMERALD SPUR | 3.7% | 26.77 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | CITY LEGEND | 3.7% | 27.12 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | BLAZING BEAT | 3.6% | 27.99 | 13 |
| 10 | 10 | GENERAL WINNER | 3.5% | 28.51 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 3.4% | 29.11 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | SUNNY BABY | 2.8% | 35.83 | 6 |
| 13 | 4 | FLYING MIGHTY | 2.5% | 40.45 | 12 |
| 14 | 3 | MAGIC SUPREME | 2.3% | 42.91 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 78.5
PLACE
1 24
7 36
11 13.5
QUINELLA
1,11 108
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 151.5
1,11 45.5
7,11 70
FORECAST
1,11 310
TIERCE
1,11,7 2,435
TRIO
1,7,11 461
FIRST 4
1,7,9,11 1,002
QUARTET
1,11,7,9 24,090
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 43
5TH DOUBLE
12/1 2,100
12/11 162.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
10,12,13/2,12,13/Any Combination 240,884