沙田 · 2021-10-10
第 7場
2021-10-10沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為WET SLOW。由R Maia策騎、K W Lui訓練的CHANCHENG PRINCE勝出，贏出2-3/4。ULTRA EXPRESS獲得亞軍；TRUE LEGEND獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.0倍大熱門ULTRA EXPRESS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CHANCHENG PRINCE 後段發力 XB/TT 1.39.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 13 | 53.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | ULTRA EXPRESS 後段發力 TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 10 | 3.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | TRUE LEGEND B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 3.8 | 3 |
| 4 | 13 | PARTY EVERYDAY 後段發力 H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | SKYEY SUPREME 早段領放 B/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 1 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | GOLD COMET B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 6 | 15.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES 後段發力 SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 7.9 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 4 | 49.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE XB2 K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 7 | 12.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | ELON E/P V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 2 | 17.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | ELITE PATCH B/H/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 12 | 26.0 | 24-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | RIGHT HONOURABLE 後段發力 H/PC/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 5 | 30.0 | 29 |
| 13 | 12 | SPLENDID LIVING A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 9 | 17.0 | 35-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 39.0% | 2.56 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 9.8% | 10.22 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | TRUE LEGEND | 8.3% | 12.00 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | GOLD COMET | 8.0% | 12.54 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | ELON | 7.1% | 14.14 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 5.5% | 18.11 | 12 |
| 7 | 13 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 5.3% | 18.73 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 4.5% | 22.16 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 3.9% | 25.60 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | SPLENDID LIVING | 2.6% | 38.93 | 13 |
| 11 | 1 | ELITE PATCH | 2.2% | 45.25 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | SKYEY SUPREME | 2.0% | 49.70 | 5 |
| 13 | 6 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 1.8% | 56.96 | 1 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 537.5
PLACE
3 18
5 16.5
6 130
QUINELLA
3,6 1,192
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 42.5
3,6 370
5,6 339
FORECAST
6,3 3,259
TIERCE
6,3,5 24,699
TRIO
3,5,6 1,792
FIRST 4
3,5,6,13 3,268
QUARTET
6,3,5,13 130,670
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,11/3,5,6 53,484
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 26
6TH DOUBLE
1/3 76
1/6 3,162.5