Sha Tin · 2021-10-10
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE Closed strongly XB/TT 1.39.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 13 | 53.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS Closed strongly TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 10 | 3.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 3.8 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 1 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLD COMET B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 6 | 15.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES Closed strongly SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 11 | 7.9 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 4 | 49.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE XB2 K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 7 | 12.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | ELON E/P V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 2 | 17.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | ELITE PATCH B/H/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 12 | 26.0 | 24-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly H/PC/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 5 | 30.0 | 29 |
| 13 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 9 | 17.0 | 35-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-10 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on WET SLOW going. CHANCHENG PRINCE, ridden by R Maia and trained by K W Lui, won by 2-3/4, with ULTRA EXPRESS second and TRUE LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite ULTRA EXPRESS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 39.0% | 2.56 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 9.8% | 10.22 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND | 8.3% | 12.00 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | GOLD COMET | 8.0% | 12.54 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | ELON | 7.1% | 14.14 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 5.5% | 18.11 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 5.3% | 18.73 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 4.5% | 22.16 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 3.9% | 25.60 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING | 2.6% | 38.93 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | ELITE PATCH | 2.2% | 45.25 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME | 2.0% | 49.70 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 1.8% | 56.96 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 537.5
PLACE
3 18
5 16.5
6 130
QUINELLA
3,6 1,192
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 42.5
3,6 370
5,6 339
FORECAST
6,3 3,259
TIERCE
6,3,5 24,699
TRIO
3,5,6 1,792
FIRST 4
3,5,6,13 3,268
QUARTET
6,3,5,13 130,670
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,11/3,5,6 53,484
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 26
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
1/3 76
1/6 3,162.5