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Sha Tin · 2021-10-10

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.25
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN LINK Closed strongly 1.21.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · P F Yiu 13 18.0 1/2
2 0 SUPER WINNER Led early TT K H Chan · C H Yip 14 10.0 1/2
3 0 HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte 6 9.8 1
4 0 MASTER DELIGHT Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size 12 2.5 2
5 0 KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes 7 13.0 2-1/4
6 0 HALL OF CHAMP Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C Fownes 10 10.0 2-3/4
7 0 MERIDIAN GENIUS M F Poon · A T Millard 1 9.4 3
8 0 SMART PATCH Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 5 23.0 3-3/4
9 0 STAR PERFORMANCE B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 4 7.6 3-3/4
10 0 FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B C Wong · Y S Tsui 3 86.0 4-3/4
11 0 CHARGE ON Closed strongly B H T Mo · D J Hall 9 20.0 5
12 0 BABY Closed strongly B- A Hamelin · K H Ting 11 101.0 6
13 0 RUN RUN COOL B A Badel · F C Lor 8 31.0 8
14 0 VITRALITE XB V Borges · K W Lui 2 76.0 11

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-10 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN LINK, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with SUPER WINNER second and HORSESAIN BOLT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite MASTER DELIGHT finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN LINK—2. SUPER WINNER+0.5L3. HORSESAIN BOLT+1L4. MASTER DELIGHT+2L5. KING'S CAPITAL+2.25L6. HALL OF CHAMP+2.75L7. MERIDIAN GENIUS+3L8. SMART PATCH+3.75L9. STAR PERFORMANCE+3.75L10. FANTASTIC SHOW+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick MASTER DELIGHT (15.4%) finished 4th — the winner GOLDEN LINK was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MASTER DELIGHT 15.4% 6.50 4
2 0 HORSESAIN BOLT 12.1% 8.24 3
3 0 HALL OF CHAMP 9.3% 10.74 6
4 0 MERIDIAN GENIUS 9.3% 10.77 7
5 0 STAR PERFORMANCE 9.1% 10.97 9
6 0 GOLDEN LINK 8.7% 11.50 1
7 0 SUPER WINNER 8.6% 11.64 2
8 0 KING'S CAPITAL 7.2% 13.96 5
9 0 CHARGE ON 6.7% 15.04 11
10 0 RUN RUN COOL 5.2% 19.24 13
11 0 SMART PATCH 3.8% 26.33 8
12 0 BABY 2.3% 43.95 12
13 0 FANTASTIC SHOW 1.4% 73.10 10
14 0 VITRALITE 1.0% 96.16 14
MASTER DELIGHTHORSESAIN BOLTHALL OF CHAMPMERIDIAN GENIUSSTAR PERFORMANCEGOLDEN LINK — wonSUPER WINNERKING'S CAPITALCHARGE ONRUN RUN COOLSMART PATCHBABYFANTASTIC SHOWVITRALITE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 182

PLACE

3 32.5

4 52.5

6 28.5

QUINELLA

3,4 789.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 213

3,6 134.5

4,6 226

FORECAST

4,3 1,347

TIERCE

4,3,6 10,770

TRIO

3,4,6 1,727

FIRST 4

2,3,4,6 966

QUARTET

4,3,6,2 40,924

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 23.5

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,10,12/3,4,6 688,129

9TH DOUBLE

12/3 196.5

12/4 1,574.5

SIX UP

12,13/1,11/3,6/3,4/2,12/3,4 99,236

9 [M Chadwick] —

TREBLE

4/12/3 2,207

4/12/4 15,928