Sha Tin · 2021-10-10
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-10 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SOCCER MASTER, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by R Gibson, won by 3/4, with BRAVE POWER second and ONE STEP AHEAD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite ONE STEP AHEAD finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SOCCER MASTER Closed strongly B-/TT 1.22.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 3 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 13 | BRAVE POWER Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 11 | 8.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | ONE STEP AHEAD Closed strongly B- J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 1 | 2.7 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | EVEN KEEL Closed strongly B/XB L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 13 | 7.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | TELECOM ELITE Closed strongly H K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 33.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | JOY AVENUE A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | FOX CHEUNGER Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 8 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | WIN TECH Closed strongly TT1 K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | ALLOY STAR Closed strongly B/TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | CIGAR BUDDIES Led early B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 4 | 38.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | LITTLE PLAYER B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 2 | 8.1 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 14 | 12.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | NOBLE MAN E-/B/H1/TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 10 | 45.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | KELMIMI WINS SR-/XB/CP1/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 9 | 46.0 | 20-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 25.8% | 3.87 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | EVEN KEEL | 12.4% | 8.07 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | ALLOY STAR | 10.5% | 9.50 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | LITTLE PLAYER | 9.1% | 11.01 | 11 |
| 5 | 6 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD | 7.0% | 14.24 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | FOX CHEUNGER | 6.8% | 14.70 | 7 |
| 7 | 13 | BRAVE POWER | 6.4% | 15.57 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | JOY AVENUE | 5.4% | 18.51 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | SOCCER MASTER | 4.2% | 24.04 | 1 |
| 10 | 14 | KELMIMI WINS | 2.7% | 36.77 | 14 |
| 11 | 3 | TELECOM ELITE | 2.7% | 37.21 | 5 |
| 12 | 8 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 2.4% | 40.90 | 10 |
| 13 | 2 | WIN TECH | 2.4% | 41.37 | 8 |
| 14 | 9 | NOBLE MAN | 2.1% | 47.53 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 194.5
PLACE
10 60.5
12 13
13 28
QUINELLA
10,13 886.5
QUINELLA PLACE
10,12 123.5
10,13 268.5
12,13 56.5
FORECAST
10,13 2,261
TIERCE
10,13,12 7,751
TRIO
10,12,13 832
FIRST 4
10,11,12,13 1,448
QUARTET
10,13,12,11 55,450
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,11,12/10,12,13 39,952
3 PICK 1
A3 26
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
3/10 905
3/13 68