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Sha Tin · 2021-10-10

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD TO YIELDING 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.24
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 THE ANOMALY Wire to wire 1.22.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · K H Ting 6 3.0 3/4
2 0 STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan 10 3.1 3/4
3 0 BEST FOR YOU Closed strongly B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui 4 15.0 1-3/4
4 0 ROMANTIC TROVE TT K C Leung · W Y So 1 11.0 2-1/2
5 0 KING'S TROOPER Closed strongly CP-/TT V Borges · P F Yiu 5 55.0 2-3/4
6 0 EL JEFE Closed strongly P-/XB/TT- A Hamelin · C H Yip 8 13.0 3-1/4
7 0 THE JOLLY Closed strongly CP/XB/E1 C L Chau · D J Whyte 3 31.0 3-1/2
8 0 AURORA PEGASUS TT K H Chan · C Fownes 9 30.0 4-1/4
9 0 NOBLE STEED Closed strongly B H Bentley · K W Lui 2 18.0 4-1/4
10 0 GOOD BEAUTY B-/CP2/TT R Maia · K L Man 11 10.0 4-1/4
11 0 GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly H T Mo · C W Chang 12 20.0 5-1/2
12 0 WAH MAY LUCK B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 7 82.0 5-1/2
13 0 MAKE IT TURBO M F Poon · D J Hall 13 100.0 5-3/4
14 0 DRAGON BABY E1/TT J Moreira · J Size 14 23.0 9-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-10 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. THE ANOMALY, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by K H Ting, won by 3/4, with STUNNING IMPACT second and BEST FOR YOU third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THE ANOMALY—2. STUNNING IMPACT+0.75L3. BEST FOR YOU+1.75L4. ROMANTIC TROVE+2.5L5. KING'S TROOPER+2.75L6. EL JEFE+3.25L7. THE JOLLY+3.5L8. AURORA PEGASUS+4.25L9. NOBLE STEED+4.25L10. GOOD BEAUTY+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick THE ANOMALY (15.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 THE ANOMALY 15.9% 6.29 1
2 0 ROMANTIC TROVE 8.7% 11.44 4
3 0 DRAGON BABY 8.5% 11.72 14
4 0 MAKE IT TURBO 8.5% 11.83 13
5 0 THE JOLLY 8.3% 12.02 7
6 0 STUNNING IMPACT 8.1% 12.34 2
7 0 GOLDEN FOUR 7.8% 12.83 11
8 0 AURORA PEGASUS 6.5% 15.28 8
9 0 EL JEFE 6.4% 15.57 6
10 0 BEST FOR YOU 5.9% 17.03 3
11 0 GOOD BEAUTY 5.1% 19.48 10
12 0 KING'S TROOPER 5.1% 19.77 5
13 0 NOBLE STEED 3.8% 26.64 9
14 0 WAH MAY LUCK 1.4% 73.43 12
THE ANOMALY — wonROMANTIC TROVEDRAGON BABYMAKE IT TURBOTHE JOLLYSTUNNING IMPACTGOLDEN FOURAURORA PEGASUSEL JEFEBEST FOR YOUGOOD BEAUTYKING'S TROOPERNOBLE STEEDWAH MAY LUCK

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 30.5

PLACE

3 14

11 39.5

12 14

QUINELLA

3,12 61.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,11 90

3,12 28.5

11,12 86.5

FORECAST

3,12 107

TIERCE

3,12,11 978

TRIO

3,11,12 283

FIRST 4

3,6,11,12 622

QUARTET

3,12,11,6 8,622

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

5/3 61

5/12 25.5

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 15.5