Sha Tin · 2021-10-10
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-10 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SPARKLING KNIGHT, ridden by K H Chan and trained by C H Yip, won by 1-3/4, with AMAZING ROCKY second and CARRY THE DIAMOND third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SPARKLING KNIGHT B- 0.56.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 14 | 2.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | AMAZING ROCKY H C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 3 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 11 | 8.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SHOWINA B K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 4 | 42.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SMART IDEA H/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 9 | 5.5 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | CHICKEN DANCE CP-/B2 A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | MY INTELLIGENT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 12 | 123.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | FIGHTING STAR CP-/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 1 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN H1/XB1/TT1 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 12.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | LUCKY TREASURE H/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 7 | 117.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SPICY SO GOOD B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 8.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | BOYS PARTY XB J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 8 | 21.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | FANTASY SPRING H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 2 | 205.0 | 19-1/4 |
| 14 | 14 | HONEY BEE B/XB1/TT V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 6 | 89.0 | 20-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AMAZING ROCKY | 16.2% | 6.19 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | SMART IDEA | 15.4% | 6.49 | 5 |
| 3 | 13 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 11.0% | 9.08 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN | 9.9% | 10.13 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | CHICKEN DANCE | 9.8% | 10.23 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | SPICY SO GOOD | 8.9% | 11.29 | 11 |
| 7 | 3 | FIGHTING STAR | 7.3% | 13.61 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | SHOWINA | 6.3% | 15.97 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 5.9% | 16.95 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | BOYS PARTY | 3.5% | 28.49 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | MY INTELLIGENT | 3.5% | 28.96 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | LUCKY TREASURE | 0.9% | 108.02 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | HONEY BEE | 0.8% | 123.12 | 14 |
| 14 | 10 | FANTASY SPRING | 0.7% | 141.46 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 25
PLACE
1 57.5
5 14
13 21
QUINELLA
1,5 284.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 122.5
1,13 210.5
5,13 46.5
FORECAST
5,1 443
TIERCE
5,1,13 2,366
TRIO
1,5,13 826
FIRST 4
1,4,5,13 3,561
QUARTET
5,1,13,4 44,821
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/1 307
2/5 387
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17.5
A3 —