Sha Tin · 2021-10-10
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXCELLENT DADDY 1.08.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 4 | 6.3 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | FIRST RESPONDER B C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 11.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | SAUVESTRE H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 8 | 28.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | ROYAL PRIDE B-/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 125.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 3 | 21.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | GLUCK RACER V C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 11 | 2.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 12 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER BR/PC J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 5 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | ARMANDO B1/TT1 L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 10 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CROSSFORD A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 14 | 39.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER DYNAMITE A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 7 | 194.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 13 | 5.3 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | BRIGHT KID B/XB H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 6 | 84.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SHADOW MISSION H1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 160.0 | 34-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-10-10 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. EXCELLENT DADDY, ridden by K C Leung and trained by T P Yung, won by HD, with FIRST RESPONDER second and SAUVESTRE third. The 2.6 favourite GLUCK RACER finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GLUCK RACER | 27.8% | 3.60 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 15.2% | 6.57 | 12 |
| 3 | 0 | FIRST RESPONDER | 13.5% | 7.40 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 8.8% | 11.31 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | SAUVESTRE | 6.1% | 16.49 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 5.8% | 17.21 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | CROSSFORD | 5.0% | 20.20 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 3.7% | 26.88 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION | 3.6% | 27.50 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | SHADOW MISSION | 3.6% | 27.73 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | ARMANDO | 2.8% | 36.34 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | ROYAL PRIDE | 1.8% | 54.93 | 4 |
| 13 | 0 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 1.4% | 73.48 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | BRIGHT KID | 1.0% | 104.29 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 63
PLACE
2 31.5
10 60.5
12 19.5
QUINELLA
2,12 472.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 410.5
2,12 140
10,12 226
FORECAST
12,2 590
TIERCE
12,2,10 16,074
TRIO
2,10,12 2,642
FIRST 4
2,4,10,12 41,458
QUARTET
12,2,10,4 568,488
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 30
8TH DOUBLE
4/2 112
4/12 633.5