沙田 · 2021-10-10
第 9場
2021-10-10沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、T P Yung訓練的EXCELLENT DADDY勝出，贏出HD。FIRST RESPONDER獲得亞軍；SAUVESTRE獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門GLUCK RACER跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | EXCELLENT DADDY 1.08.79 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 4 | 6.3 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | FIRST RESPONDER B C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 11.0 | HD |
| 3 | 10 | SAUVESTRE H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 8 | 28.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | ROYAL PRIDE B-/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 125.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | LIFELINE VISION R Maia · D A Hayes | R Maia | D A Hayes | 3 | 21.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | GLUCK RACER V C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 11 | 2.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 12 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 5 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | ARMANDO B1/TT1 L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 10 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | CROSSFORD A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 14 | 39.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SUPER DYNAMITE A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 7 | 194.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 13 | 5.3 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | BRIGHT KID B/XB H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 6 | 84.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | SHADOW MISSION H1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 160.0 | 34-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GLUCK RACER | 27.8% | 3.60 | 6 |
| 2 | 13 | CALIFORNIA CIBLE | 15.2% | 6.57 | 12 |
| 3 | 2 | FIRST RESPONDER | 13.5% | 7.40 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 8.8% | 11.31 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | SAUVESTRE | 6.1% | 16.49 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 5.8% | 17.21 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | CROSSFORD | 5.0% | 20.20 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 3.7% | 26.88 | 1 |
| 9 | 8 | LIFELINE VISION | 3.6% | 27.50 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | SHADOW MISSION | 3.6% | 27.73 | 14 |
| 11 | 1 | ARMANDO | 2.8% | 36.34 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | ROYAL PRIDE | 1.8% | 54.93 | 4 |
| 13 | 5 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 1.4% | 73.48 | 11 |
| 14 | 14 | BRIGHT KID | 1.0% | 104.29 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 63
PLACE
2 31.5
10 60.5
12 19.5
QUINELLA
2,12 472.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 410.5
2,12 140
10,12 226
FORECAST
12,2 590
TIERCE
12,2,10 16,074
TRIO
2,10,12 2,642
FIRST 4
2,4,10,12 41,458
QUARTET
12,2,10,4 568,488
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 30
8TH DOUBLE
4/2 112
4/12 633.5