沙田 · 2021-10-10
第 8場
2021-10-10沙田第8場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為WET SLOW。由M F Poon策騎、A T Millard訓練的SILVER FIG勝出，贏出1-1/2。KURPANY獲得亞軍；MAN STAR獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門HONGKONG GREAT跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SILVER FIG B/TT 1.08.65 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 6 | 9.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | KURPANY TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | MAN STAR V M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 3 | 5.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 9 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | PRIVATE ROCKET SR/XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 7 | 6.7 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | WINNER METHOD CP-/TT H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 2 | 8.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | CZARSON CP/TT M L Yeung · P F Yiu | M L Yeung | P F Yiu | 11 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | HONGKONG GREAT B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 1 | 4.1 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | RED DESERT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | BEAR SLAM B H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 10 | 68.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | IGNITING B H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 8 | 18.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | FLYING BONUS P C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 5 | 19.0 | 7 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HONGKONG GREAT | 25.8% | 3.88 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | KURPANY | 10.7% | 9.39 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | MAN STAR | 9.3% | 10.80 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | WINNER METHOD | 8.4% | 11.85 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | IGNITING | 8.4% | 11.92 | 11 |
| 6 | 12 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 8.3% | 12.00 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | RED DESERT | 7.0% | 14.36 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | FLYING BONUS | 5.8% | 17.38 | 12 |
| 9 | 11 | WE THE SOUTH | 5.7% | 17.54 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | SILVER FIG | 5.1% | 19.47 | 1 |
| 11 | 9 | CZARSON | 3.0% | 33.74 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | BEAR SLAM | 2.6% | 37.87 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 94
PLACE
3 42.5
4 30.5
6 19
QUINELLA
3,4 654.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 198.5
3,6 149
4,6 70
FORECAST
4,3 1,314
TIERCE
4,3,6 4,454
TRIO
3,4,6 900
FIRST 4
3,4,6,11 3,328
QUARTET
4,3,6,11 82,611
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 26.5
A1 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
6/3 1,019
6/4 4,386