沙田 · 2021-10-10
第 10場
2021-10-10沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、P F Yiu訓練的GOLDEN LINK勝出，贏出1/2。SUPER WINNER獲得亞軍；HORSESAIN BOLT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.5倍大熱門MASTER DELIGHT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLDEN LINK 後段發力 1.21.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 13 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | SUPER WINNER 早段領放 TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 14 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | HORSESAIN BOLT 後段發力 B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 9.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | MASTER DELIGHT 後段發力 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 2.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | KING'S CAPITAL 後段發力 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | HALL OF CHAMP 後段發力 TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 10 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | MERIDIAN GENIUS M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 1 | 9.4 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | SMART PATCH 後段發力 B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | STAR PERFORMANCE B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 7.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | FANTASTIC SHOW 後段發力 B C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 86.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | CHARGE ON 後段發力 B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 9 | 20.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | BABY 後段發力 B- A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 11 | 101.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 7 | RUN RUN COOL B A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 8 | 31.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | VITRALITE XB V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 2 | 76.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MASTER DELIGHT | 15.4% | 6.50 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 12.1% | 8.24 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | HALL OF CHAMP | 9.3% | 10.74 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 9.3% | 10.77 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 9.1% | 10.97 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 | GOLDEN LINK | 8.7% | 11.50 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | SUPER WINNER | 8.6% | 11.64 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | KING'S CAPITAL | 7.2% | 13.96 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | CHARGE ON | 6.7% | 15.04 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | RUN RUN COOL | 5.2% | 19.24 | 13 |
| 11 | 8 | SMART PATCH | 3.8% | 26.33 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | BABY | 2.3% | 43.95 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 1.4% | 73.10 | 10 |
| 14 | 14 | VITRALITE | 1.0% | 96.16 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 182
PLACE
3 32.5
4 52.5
6 28.5
QUINELLA
3,4 789.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 213
3,6 134.5
4,6 226
FORECAST
4,3 1,347
TIERCE
4,3,6 10,770
TRIO
3,4,6 1,727
FIRST 4
2,3,4,6 966
QUARTET
4,3,6,2 40,924
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 23.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,10,12/3,4,6 688,129
9TH DOUBLE
12/3 196.5
12/4 1,574.5
SIX UP
12,13/1,11/3,6/3,4/2,12/3,4 99,236
9 [M Chadwick] —
TREBLE
4/12/3 2,207
4/12/4 15,928