沙田 · 2021-12-27 · 14:37
第 4場
2021-12-27沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M L Yeung策騎、K H Ting訓練的UNTOLD RICHES勝出，贏出2-1/2。COUNTRY BOY獲得亞軍；GOLDEN EMPIRE獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門EN POINTE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | UNTOLD RICHES H 1.10.40 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 3.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | GOLDEN EMPIRE R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 10 | 71.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | EN POINTE C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 2.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN H/SR/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | AMIGOS GIGGLE K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 11 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SIXTH GENERATION B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 1 | 41.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | SCIENCE PATCH B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 85.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | HANDSOME VEGGIE A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 14 | 24.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | STREET SCREAM H/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 13 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | E BROTHER CP/TT L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 7 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | ICE LEGEND B-/H/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 2 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | ABOVE ALL H/XB M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 4 | 48.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | ALL RICHES K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 153.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 0 | BELLA BABY V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | EN POINTE | 32.3% | 3.09 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | COUNTRY BOY | 20.7% | 4.84 | 2 |
| 3 | 13 | E BROTHER | 9.1% | 11.01 | 11 |
| 4 | 10 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN | 6.9% | 14.56 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | ICE LEGEND | 6.3% | 16.00 | 12 |
| 6 | 1 | STREET SCREAM | 5.2% | 19.08 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | AMIGOS GIGGLE | 4.2% | 23.66 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | UNTOLD RICHES | 3.6% | 27.85 | 1 |
| 9 | 8 | SIXTH GENERATION | 3.1% | 32.61 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | HANDSOME VEGGIE | 2.6% | 38.33 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 2.5% | 39.62 | 3 |
| 12 | 14 | ABOVE ALL | 1.4% | 72.26 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | SCIENCE PATCH | 1.2% | 82.11 | 8 |
| 14 | 4 | ALL RICHES | 0.9% | 107.40 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 106.5
PLACE
5 15.5
6 177.5
11 26
QUINELLA
5,11 220
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 382
5,11 82
6,11 1,008.5
FORECAST
11,5 513
TIERCE
11,5,6 23,722
TRIO
5,6,11 3,924
FIRST 4
2,5,6,11 2,090
QUARTET
11,5,6,2 77,007
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,9/5,6,11 112,178
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 35
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/5 13.5
5/11 170