沙田 · 2021-12-27 · 13:31
第 2場
2021-12-27沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、T P Yung訓練的DRAGON PRIDE勝出，贏出1-1/4。SUNNY BABY獲得亞軍；SUPER KIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.2倍大熱門SUNNY BABY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | DRAGON PRIDE 後段發力 1.23.65 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 13 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | SUNNY BABY 後段發力 J Moreira · D A Hayes | J Moreira | D A Hayes | 3 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | SUPER KIN TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 2 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR 後段發力 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 6 | 40.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | INGENIOUS FELLOW 後段發力 PC/TT H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 8 | 132.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | AMAZEMENT B/TT1 H Bentley · J Size | H Bentley | J Size | 1 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | AFTER ME 後段發力 B- H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 5 | 58.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | SPLENDID TIMING 後段發力 B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 14 | 57.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | ALEE KING PRAWN 早段領放 B/TT1 A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 9 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | GOODMANSHIP B-/TT B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 11 | 8.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | BIG BANG BONG B C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 4 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | SPARKLING STAR 後段發力 B/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 10 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | RED BRICK GLORY XB C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 12 | 21.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUNNY BABY | 24.5% | 4.07 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | SUPER KIN | 12.0% | 8.35 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | FOX CHEUNGER | 9.2% | 10.84 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | SPARKLING STAR | 8.8% | 11.35 | 13 |
| 5 | 3 | AMAZEMENT | 8.3% | 11.99 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | GOODMANSHIP | 7.7% | 12.99 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | ALEE KING PRAWN | 6.2% | 16.16 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 5.2% | 19.21 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | AFTER ME | 4.6% | 21.71 | 7 |
| 10 | 13 | DRAGON PRIDE | 4.1% | 24.51 | 1 |
| 11 | 14 | BIG BANG BONG | 3.1% | 31.80 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | RED BRICK GLORY | 3.1% | 32.02 | 14 |
| 13 | 12 | SPLENDID TIMING | 1.8% | 54.85 | 8 |
| 14 | 8 | INGENIOUS FELLOW | 1.2% | 80.87 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 144
PLACE
4 13
10 25
13 44.5
QUINELLA
4,13 183.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 52
4,13 76.5
10,13 173.5
FORECAST
13,4 724
TIERCE
13,4,10 3,669
TRIO
4,10,13 452
FIRST 4
4,10,11,13 2,845
QUARTET
13,4,10,11 130,653
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
9/4 25
9/13 804
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 23
A2 —