沙田 · 2021-12-27 · 15:36
第 6場
2021-12-27沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K H Chan策騎、C H Yip訓練的KASI FARASI勝出，贏出1-1/2。MILLENNIUM FALCON獲得亞軍；GENERAL WINNER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.1倍大熱門PINS PRINCE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | KASI FARASI 後段發力 TT 1.22.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 3 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | MILLENNIUM FALCON 後段發力 H C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 4.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | GENERAL WINNER 後段發力 H- K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 36.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | PINS PRINCE 早段領放 H/P/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 2.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | RING BELLS 後段發力 A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 10 | 42.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | CHARGE ON 後段發力 B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | SOARING TOWER 後段發力 C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | GO FOR TEA H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 4 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | LADY FIRST CP/H/XB/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 1 | 24.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | WONDER YEARS 後段發力 B1/XB1 B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 14 | 141.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | SICOMORO M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 35.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | I BELIEVE IN MAGIC C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 218.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 2 | 11.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | FANTASY SPRING H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 13 | 215.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PINS PRINCE | 41.5% | 2.41 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 14.8% | 6.78 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | SOARING TOWER | 8.6% | 11.59 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT | 7.8% | 12.82 | 13 |
| 5 | 13 | LADY FIRST | 5.8% | 17.11 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | CHARGE ON | 4.8% | 20.97 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | GO FOR TEA | 4.4% | 22.85 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | RING BELLS | 2.5% | 40.22 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | KASI FARASI | 2.4% | 41.00 | 1 |
| 10 | 4 | SICOMORO | 2.1% | 47.79 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | WONDER YEARS | 2.1% | 48.19 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | GENERAL WINNER | 1.9% | 51.69 | 3 |
| 13 | 14 | I BELIEVE IN MAGIC | 0.8% | 123.72 | 12 |
| 14 | 12 | FANTASY SPRING | 0.4% | 224.12 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 189.5
PLACE
3 47.5
6 16.5
7 87
QUINELLA
3,6 393.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 113
3,7 811.5
6,7 217.5
FORECAST
3,6 1,116
TIERCE
3,6,7 31,404
TRIO
3,6,7 5,105
FIRST 4
1,3,6,7 1,658
QUARTET
3,6,7,1 89,396
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 35.5
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
4/3 444
4/6 26
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,6,11/2,4,10/Any Combination 21,633