沙田 · 2021-12-27 · 17:53
第 10場
2021-12-27沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、F C Lor訓練的ALL BEAUTY勝出，贏出3/4。PERFECT PAIR獲得亞軍；MASTER HERO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.3倍大熱門MASTER HERO跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ALL BEAUTY 後段發力 1.22.44 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 5.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | PERFECT PAIR 早段領放 SR H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 7 | 25.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | MASTER HERO XB/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 2 | 2.3 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 1 | 84.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | MALDIVES 後段發力 XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 14 | 8.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | HORSESAIN BOLT 後段發力 B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 6.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY NOVA 後段發力 A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 70.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 13 | APACHE PASS BO/XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 105.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | THE HULK K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 11 | 46.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR 後段發力 CP V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 12 | 6.1 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | LUCKY GOLD B1/H1 R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 8 | 43.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM XB H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 3 | 117.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | LIFELINE VISION B M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 10 | 33.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | BORN THE SAME DAY H1 M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 6 | 86.0 | 19-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MASTER HERO | 37.1% | 2.69 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | MALDIVES | 10.6% | 9.43 | 5 |
| 3 | 12 | ALL BEAUTY | 10.3% | 9.68 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 9.2% | 10.89 | 6 |
| 5 | 14 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 8.8% | 11.32 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | BEAUTY NOVA | 4.6% | 21.90 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 3.7% | 26.75 | 14 |
| 8 | 3 | THE HULK | 3.7% | 27.31 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | LUCKY GOLD | 3.1% | 32.67 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | LIFELINE VISION | 3.0% | 33.24 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | PERFECT PAIR | 2.9% | 34.48 | 2 |
| 12 | 7 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 1.4% | 72.42 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | APACHE PASS | 1.1% | 93.85 | 8 |
| 14 | 9 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 0.5% | 195.55 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 54.5
PLACE
2 11.5
11 50.5
12 18.5
QUINELLA
11,12 540
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 100
2,12 30
11,12 169.5
FORECAST
12,11 1,027
TIERCE
12,11,2 3,127
TRIO
2,11,12 425
FIRST 4
2,9,11,12 5,522
QUARTET
12,11,2,9 121,769
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 26
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/2,11,12 8,858
9TH DOUBLE
2/11 163.5
2/12 235
SIX UP
4/3/10/2/2/12 146,738
4,10/3,6/10,14/2,11/1,2/11,12 3,792
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
2/2/11 418
2/2/12 648