Sha Tin · 2021-12-27 · 17:53
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-27 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ALL BEAUTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with PERFECT PAIR second and MASTER HERO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite MASTER HERO finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ALL BEAUTY Closed strongly 1.22.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 5.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | PERFECT PAIR Led early SR H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 7 | 25.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | MASTER HERO XB/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 2 | 2.3 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 1 | 84.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 14 | 8.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 6.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY NOVA Closed strongly A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 70.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 13 | APACHE PASS BO/XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 105.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | THE HULK K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 11 | 46.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR Closed strongly CP V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 12 | 6.1 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | LUCKY GOLD B1/H1 R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 8 | 43.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM XB H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 3 | 117.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | LIFELINE VISION B M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 10 | 33.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | BORN THE SAME DAY H1 M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 6 | 86.0 | 19-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MASTER HERO | 37.1% | 2.69 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | MALDIVES | 10.6% | 9.43 | 5 |
| 3 | 12 | ALL BEAUTY | 10.3% | 9.68 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 9.2% | 10.89 | 6 |
| 5 | 14 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 8.8% | 11.32 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | BEAUTY NOVA | 4.6% | 21.90 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 3.7% | 26.75 | 14 |
| 8 | 3 | THE HULK | 3.7% | 27.31 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | LUCKY GOLD | 3.1% | 32.67 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | LIFELINE VISION | 3.0% | 33.24 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | PERFECT PAIR | 2.9% | 34.48 | 2 |
| 12 | 7 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 1.4% | 72.42 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | APACHE PASS | 1.1% | 93.85 | 8 |
| 14 | 9 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 0.5% | 195.55 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 54.5
PLACE
2 11.5
11 50.5
12 18.5
QUINELLA
11,12 540
QUINELLA PLACE
2,11 100
2,12 30
11,12 169.5
FORECAST
12,11 1,027
TIERCE
12,11,2 3,127
TRIO
2,11,12 425
FIRST 4
2,9,11,12 5,522
QUARTET
12,11,2,9 121,769
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 26
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/2,11,12 8,858
9TH DOUBLE
2/11 163.5
2/12 235
SIX UP
4/3/10/2/2/12 146,738
4,10/3,6/10,14/2,11/1,2/11,12 3,792
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
2/2/11 418
2/2/12 648