Sha Tin · 2021-12-27 · 16:43
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIGHT SPIRIT Closed strongly 1.22.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 1.4 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER Closed strongly B-/XB H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 1 | 35.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION Closed strongly B K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 6 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | DANDY YEARS B/TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 8 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CHATER PINS Closed strongly SR1 A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 12 | 39.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FLYING SWORD B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 7 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS Closed strongly B1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 14 | 124.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SNOWALOT Led early B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 11.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 13 | 18.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | WONDERFUL FANTASY CP V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 11 | 240.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | PEAK TO PEAK B/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 23.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | PRIDE OF DRAGON H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 10 | 113.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | KING DRAGON V/XB H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 2 | 81.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | HEARTY WISH SR-/H/B1/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 13.0 | 13 |
| — | 0 | SPARKY STAR M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-27 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SIGHT SPIRIT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 3, with CHEERFUL LEADER second and HANG'S DECISION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIGHT SPIRIT | 37.8% | 2.64 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | FLYING SWORD | 10.0% | 9.97 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | SNOWALOT | 9.5% | 10.53 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING | 8.1% | 12.31 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | CHATER PINS | 6.2% | 16.19 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | HEARTY WISH | 5.9% | 17.09 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | DANDY YEARS | 5.3% | 18.80 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 4.5% | 22.29 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | PEAK TO PEAK | 3.9% | 25.33 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION | 3.1% | 32.76 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | KING DRAGON | 2.8% | 35.35 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 1.5% | 68.55 | 2 |
| 13 | 0 | PRIDE OF DRAGON | 0.9% | 115.97 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | WONDERFUL FANTASY | 0.5% | 187.49 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 14.5
PLACE
2 10.5
3 30
11 52
QUINELLA
2,11 167.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 39.5
2,11 67.5
3,11 334
FORECAST
2,11 255
TIERCE
2,11,3 1,548
TRIO
2,3,11 524
FIRST 4
2,3,4,11 2,042
QUARTET
2,11,3,4 18,674
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 13
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
10/2 101.5
10/11 626.5