Sha Tin · 2021-12-27 · 16:08
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-27 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. PRIME MINISTER, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with NOTHING NEW second and SOLID IMPACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite BEAUTY CHAMP finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly TT 1.22.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 14 | 4.5 | N |
| 2 | 14 | NOTHING NEW Closed strongly H/P/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 6.2 | N |
| 3 | 9 | SOLID IMPACT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 68.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | BEAUTY CHAMP TT1 J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 3 | 3.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 13 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 2 | 9.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | DUBLIN STAR Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 10 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | BE READY V- C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 8 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | MERCURIAL Led early H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 11 | 6.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPER OASIS Closed strongly B/XB R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 4 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | FABULOUSIO Closed strongly M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 1 | 43.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | HEZA BEAUTY Closed strongly E B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 5 | 14.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | SMILING TIME CP/TT1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 53.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | LEWIS XB-/B/TT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 13 | 125.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | MR CROISSANT CP H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 7 | 62.0 | 82-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 25.8% | 3.87 | 4 |
| 2 | 14 | NOTHING NEW | 11.8% | 8.46 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | MERCURIAL | 9.5% | 10.55 | 8 |
| 4 | 13 | NEARLY FINE | 8.3% | 12.11 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | PRIME MINISTER | 8.0% | 12.52 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | BE READY | 8.0% | 12.53 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | DUBLIN STAR | 5.7% | 17.54 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | HEZA BEAUTY | 5.4% | 18.51 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPER OASIS | 5.3% | 18.82 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | FABULOUSIO | 4.5% | 22.03 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | SOLID IMPACT | 2.6% | 38.02 | 3 |
| 12 | 4 | SMILING TIME | 1.9% | 52.30 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | LEWIS | 1.7% | 60.25 | 13 |
| 14 | 3 | MR CROISSANT | 1.5% | 67.24 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 45
PLACE
9 142.5
10 19
14 23.5
QUINELLA
10,14 142
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 422.5
9,14 600
10,14 52
FORECAST
10,14 280
TIERCE
10,14,9 9,678
TRIO
9,10,14 1,899
FIRST 4
2,9,10,14 4,547
QUARTET
10,14,9,2 91,009
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,7/9,10,14 1,663,060
3 PICK 1
A2 25.5
A3 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/10 1,291.5
3/14 237.5