Sha Tin · 2021-12-27 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BRAVE POWER Closed strongly B/TT 1.23.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 6 | 4.4 | N |
| 2 | 0 | ZACIAN Closed strongly J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 7 | 3.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SMILING FACE Closed strongly SR/TT C Wong · D J Whyte | C Wong | D J Whyte | 8 | 37.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | EASY FORTUNE Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 3 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | BRILLIANT CHINA Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 1 | 7.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION Closed strongly B2 K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 13 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | EVEN KEEL Closed strongly B/XB M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 9 | 7.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 11 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | EVER JOY CP/XB V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 38.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | CASA KINGDOM Closed strongly B/XB B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 5 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SEA MONARCH Led early H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 12 | 43.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | ALL THE WAY Closed strongly B/H/TT H Bentley · L Ho | H Bentley | L Ho | 14 | 123.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | RUBY STARS TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 10 | 71.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | ISLAND SUNSHINE K H Chan · K W Lui | K H Chan | K W Lui | 4 | 66.0 | 8-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2021-12-27 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BRAVE POWER, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with ZACIAN second and SMILING FACE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite ZACIAN finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ZACIAN | 31.9% | 3.14 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | BRAVE POWER | 24.5% | 4.09 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BRILLIANT CHINA | 9.7% | 10.29 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 5.2% | 19.06 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | EASY FORTUNE | 4.3% | 23.01 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | EVEN KEEL | 4.2% | 23.84 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 4.1% | 24.17 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | CASA KINGDOM | 4.0% | 24.83 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | ISLAND SUNSHINE | 2.9% | 34.39 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION | 2.5% | 40.19 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | RUBY STARS | 2.2% | 45.09 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | SEA MONARCH | 1.7% | 59.77 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | EVER JOY | 1.5% | 65.85 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | ALL THE WAY | 1.2% | 82.16 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 44.5
PLACE
7 14.5
9 16
14 86
QUINELLA
7,9 65.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 27.5
7,14 177.5
9,14 209.5
FORECAST
9,7 145
TIERCE
9,7,14 2,492
TRIO
7,9,14 513
FIRST 4
5,7,9,14 1,284
QUARTET
9,7,14,5 20,413
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 18
A3 —