沙田 · 2021-12-27 · 16:08
第 7場
2021-12-27沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、P F Yiu訓練的PRIME MINISTER勝出，贏出N。NOTHING NEW獲得亞軍；SOLID IMPACT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.8倍大熱門BEAUTY CHAMP跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PRIME MINISTER 後段發力 TT 1.22.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 14 | 4.5 | N |
| 2 | 14 | NOTHING NEW 後段發力 H/P/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 6.2 | N |
| 3 | 9 | SOLID IMPACT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 68.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | BEAUTY CHAMP TT1 J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 3 | 3.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 13 | NEARLY FINE 後段發力 TT V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 2 | 9.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | DUBLIN STAR 後段發力 B/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 10 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | BE READY V- C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 8 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | MERCURIAL 早段領放 H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 11 | 6.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPER OASIS 後段發力 B/XB R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 4 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | FABULOUSIO 後段發力 M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 1 | 43.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | HEZA BEAUTY 後段發力 E B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 5 | 14.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | SMILING TIME CP/TT1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 53.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | LEWIS XB-/B/TT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 13 | 125.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | MR CROISSANT CP H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 7 | 62.0 | 82-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 25.8% | 3.87 | 4 |
| 2 | 14 | NOTHING NEW | 11.8% | 8.46 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | MERCURIAL | 9.5% | 10.55 | 8 |
| 4 | 13 | NEARLY FINE | 8.3% | 12.11 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | PRIME MINISTER | 8.0% | 12.52 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | BE READY | 8.0% | 12.53 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | DUBLIN STAR | 5.7% | 17.54 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | HEZA BEAUTY | 5.4% | 18.51 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPER OASIS | 5.3% | 18.82 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | FABULOUSIO | 4.5% | 22.03 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | SOLID IMPACT | 2.6% | 38.02 | 3 |
| 12 | 4 | SMILING TIME | 1.9% | 52.30 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | LEWIS | 1.7% | 60.25 | 13 |
| 14 | 3 | MR CROISSANT | 1.5% | 67.24 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 45
PLACE
9 142.5
10 19
14 23.5
QUINELLA
10,14 142
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 422.5
9,14 600
10,14 52
FORECAST
10,14 280
TIERCE
10,14,9 9,678
TRIO
9,10,14 1,899
FIRST 4
2,9,10,14 4,547
QUARTET
10,14,9,2 91,009
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,7/9,10,14 1,663,060
3 PICK 1
A2 25.5
A3 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/10 1,291.5
3/14 237.5