沙田 · 2021-12-27 · 17:18
第 9場
2021-12-27沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Shinn策騎、D J Whyte訓練的CARROLL STREET勝出，贏出1/2。CORDYCEPS SIX獲得亞軍；ALCARI獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門SUPER FORTUNE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CARROLL STREET CP-/XB-/B1/TT1 0.56.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 7 | 6.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | CORDYCEPS SIX B C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 13 | 2.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | ALCARI C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 14 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | SUPER FORTUNE CP1/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 8 | 2.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | RUN RUN COOL B/H1 H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 5 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | KUMASI C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 37.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SPECIAL M B/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 14 | FANTASY B/XB H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 6 | 81.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | METRO WARRIOR B L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 2 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 11 | 73.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | TURIN WARRIOR B1/XB1 R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 3 | 136.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 13 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 59.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | SERGEANT PEPPER CP1 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 12 | 30.0 | 6 |
| 14 | 8 | PROSECCO M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 208.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SUPER FORTUNE | 37.0% | 2.71 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | CORDYCEPS SIX | 16.2% | 6.17 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | SPECIAL M | 13.1% | 7.62 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | METRO WARRIOR | 7.4% | 13.58 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | ALCARI | 4.7% | 21.43 | 3 |
| 6 | 13 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 3.8% | 26.41 | 12 |
| 7 | 6 | KUMASI | 3.6% | 27.61 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | CARROLL STREET | 3.3% | 30.41 | 1 |
| 9 | 7 | RUN RUN COOL | 2.9% | 35.07 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 2.7% | 37.52 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | FANTASY | 2.1% | 47.13 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | TURIN WARRIOR | 1.5% | 65.55 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 1.2% | 80.41 | 10 |
| 14 | 8 | PROSECCO | 0.6% | 173.16 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 64
PLACE
1 12
2 19
4 39.5
QUINELLA
1,2 95.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 35
1,4 71.5
2,4 145
FORECAST
2,1 230
TIERCE
2,1,4 1,966
TRIO
1,2,4 389
FIRST 4
1,2,4,10 161
QUARTET
2,1,4,10 5,197
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 40
A1 —
8TH DOUBLE
2/1 10.5
2/2 62