沙田 · 2021-12-27 · 15:06
第 5場
2021-12-27沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的GALAXY WITNESS勝出，贏出3/4。EL JEFE獲得亞軍；FORTE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GALAXY WITNESS 0.57.13 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 2.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | EL JEFE XB/B2 K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 11 | 6.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | FORTE XB/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 4 | 4.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 7 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | BALTIC WHISPER TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 9 | 34.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | SUPER CLASS L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 8 | 37.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | SCOTCH TYCOON H1 R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 14 | 14.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | AMAZING ROCKY H C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 1 | 15.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | SIMPLE DOCTRINE B/XB H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 6 | 212.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 14.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 12 | 9.2 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | THE GOOD DEAL M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 2 | 80.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | BEAUTY CHEERS V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 10 | 24.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | INTENTION V/TT H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 13 | 187.0 | 18-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GALAXY WITNESS | 33.5% | 2.98 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 17.4% | 5.76 | 10 |
| 3 | 12 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 8.5% | 11.83 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 8.4% | 11.88 | 11 |
| 5 | 5 | SCOTCH TYCOON | 4.6% | 21.95 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | AMAZING ROCKY | 4.5% | 21.98 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | FORTE | 4.4% | 22.54 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | SUPER CLASS | 4.2% | 23.78 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | BALTIC WHISPER | 3.6% | 27.53 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | BEAUTY CHEERS | 3.5% | 28.67 | 13 |
| 11 | 10 | EL JEFE | 3.4% | 29.34 | 2 |
| 12 | 7 | THE GOOD DEAL | 2.7% | 36.71 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | SIMPLE DOCTRINE | 0.6% | 157.70 | 9 |
| 14 | 13 | INTENTION | 0.6% | 159.45 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 26
PLACE
2 15.5
4 15
10 19.5
QUINELLA
4,10 87
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 35.5
2,10 61
4,10 38
FORECAST
4,10 135
TIERCE
4,10,2 596
TRIO
2,4,10 129
FIRST 4
2,4,10,12 648
QUARTET
4,10,2,12 8,620
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16.5
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
11/4 268.5
11/10 70