沙田 · 2024-02-12 · 09:19
第 10場
2024-02-12沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Avdulla策騎、J Size訓練的HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE勝出，贏出1。GALAXY PATCH獲得亞軍；BUNDLE OF CHARM獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門GALAXY PATCH跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE 1.08.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 18.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GALAXY PATCH B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 9 | 1.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | BUNDLE OF CHARM P- A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 25.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | PACKING TREADMILL SR L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 13 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER H A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 3 | 5.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | INVINCIBLE SAGE A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | FLYING ACE B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 8.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 131.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP/TT H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 2 | 59.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 13 | 55.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | ASTROLOGER SR B Thompson · K L Man | B Thompson | K L Man | 1 | 164.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | WE ARE HERO V/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 4 | 61.0 | 6 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GALAXY PATCH | 43.8% | 2.29 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 10.4% | 9.61 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 9.0% | 11.13 | 8 |
| 4 | 13 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER | 8.2% | 12.18 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | FLYING ACE | 6.3% | 15.86 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | PACKING TREADMILL | 4.7% | 21.44 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 4.2% | 24.06 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 3.6% | 27.94 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | WE ARE HERO | 3.6% | 27.98 | 13 |
| 10 | 3 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 2.4% | 40.95 | 1 |
| 11 | 6 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 1.6% | 62.76 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 1.2% | 80.85 | 9 |
| 13 | 12 | ASTROLOGER | 1.1% | 91.20 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 188.5
PLACE
3 36.5
5 10.5
11 52
QUINELLA
3,5 117.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 45
3,11 316
5,11 67.5
FORECAST
3,5 454
TIERCE
3,5,11 4,457
TRIO
3,5,11 526
FIRST 4
1,3,5,11 1,853
QUARTET
3,5,11,1 81,465
全部彩池（另 1 項）
9TH DOUBLE
5/3 1,142
5/5 25