沙田 · 2024-02-12 · 05:33
第 3場
2024-02-12沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、W Y So訓練的PARTERRE勝出，贏出1。PATCH OF THETA獲得亞軍；SPICY GOLD獲得季軍。1.6倍大熱門MASTER MASTERMIND跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PARTERRE B 1.09.89 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 3 | 21.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | PATCH OF THETA H/XB K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 12 | 3.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | SPICY GOLD L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | JAZZ CLUB M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 26.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | SIGHT VICTORY H/XB1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | SUPER GLORY CP1 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 13 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | EASY SNIP B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | MASTER MASTERMIND TT1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 1.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | MARIO B1 B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 4 | 173.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | PACKING WISHER TT1 K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 11 | 109.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | GOLDEN LINK E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 14 | 27.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | PATCH OF WATCH SR1/TT- Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 8 | 66.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | URBAN TRIUMPH V-/CP1/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 7 | 183.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | FUNG M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 10 | 163.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MASTER MASTERMIND | 25.3% | 3.96 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | PATCH OF THETA | 17.1% | 5.86 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | PACKING WISHER | 11.4% | 8.76 | 10 |
| 4 | 8 | SUPER GLORY | 9.0% | 11.15 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | EASY SNIP | 8.3% | 12.09 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | PARTERRE | 5.5% | 18.08 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | SPICY GOLD | 5.1% | 19.49 | 3 |
| 8 | 14 | JAZZ CLUB | 4.9% | 20.58 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | MARIO | 4.1% | 24.26 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | GOLDEN LINK | 3.3% | 30.33 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | SIGHT VICTORY | 2.4% | 41.89 | 5 |
| 12 | 13 | URBAN TRIUMPH | 1.4% | 70.96 | 13 |
| 13 | 4 | FUNG | 1.2% | 85.70 | 14 |
| 14 | 11 | PATCH OF WATCH | 1.1% | 90.49 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 212
PLACE
1 34
3 14
10 37
QUINELLA
1,3 298.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 78.5
1,10 258.5
3,10 72
FORECAST
1,3 787
TIERCE
1,3,10 7,814
TRIO
1,3,10 962
FIRST 4
1,3,10,14 3,025
QUARTET
1,3,10,14 73,520
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,12,13/1,3,10 258,263
2ND DOUBLE
13/1 1,254
13/3 36