沙田 · 2024-02-12 · 07:09
第 6場
2024-02-12沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、F C Lor訓練的VOYAGE SAMURAI勝出，贏出N。SMILING COLLECTOR獲得亞軍；VOLCANIC SPARK獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.0倍大熱門GOLDEN RISE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | VOYAGE SAMURAI 一路領先 1.22.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 8.3 | N |
| 2 | 11 | SMILING COLLECTOR 後段發力 XB L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 5 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | VOLCANIC SPARK 後段發力 B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 14 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | INVINCIBLE LUCKY 後段發力 M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 11 | 8.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | GOLDEN RISE Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 13 | 3.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 14 | MR GOOD VIBES B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 1 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | DOUBLE WIN XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 6.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | FORERUNNER 後段發力 TT1 B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 12 | 73.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | WINNING HEART B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 2 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | BONUS PAL B-/V1 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 4 | 119.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SETANTA B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 3 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | HAPPY DAILY TT2 Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 10 | 8.6 | 6 |
| 13 | 10 | MR MAESTRO XB/B1/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 8 | 29.0 | 13-3/4 |
| — | 13 | SMART FOLKS A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GOLDEN RISE | 22.4% | 4.47 | 5 |
| 2 | 9 | VOYAGE SAMURAI | 10.1% | 9.89 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | DOUBLE WIN | 9.8% | 10.25 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 9.7% | 10.31 | 3 |
| 5 | 14 | MR GOOD VIBES | 8.3% | 12.08 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | SETANTA | 7.0% | 14.29 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | INVINCIBLE LUCKY | 6.9% | 14.57 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | HAPPY DAILY | 6.5% | 15.40 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | WINNING HEART | 6.0% | 16.58 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | MR MAESTRO | 5.0% | 20.03 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 4.8% | 20.85 | 2 |
| 12 | 5 | FORERUNNER | 2.6% | 38.26 | 8 |
| 13 | 2 | BONUS PAL | 1.0% | 99.77 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 83
PLACE
6 45.5
9 30
11 41
QUINELLA
9,11 712.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 224
6,11 283.5
9,11 205.5
FORECAST
9,11 1,296
TIERCE
9,11,6 17,291
TRIO
6,9,11 3,761
FIRST 4
6,8,9,11 6,527
QUARTET
9,11,6,8 162,200
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
2/9 788
2/11 267