Sha Tin · 2024-02-12 · 15:07
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VOYAGE SAMURAI Wire to wire 1.22.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 8.3 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SMILING COLLECTOR Closed strongly XB L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 5 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | VOLCANIC SPARK Closed strongly B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 14 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | INVINCIBLE LUCKY Closed strongly M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 11 | 8.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN RISE Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 13 | 3.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | MR GOOD VIBES B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 1 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DOUBLE WIN XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 6.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FORERUNNER Closed strongly TT1 B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 12 | 73.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | WINNING HEART B/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 2 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BONUS PAL B-/V1 K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 4 | 119.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SETANTA B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 3 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY TT2 Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 10 | 8.6 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | MR MAESTRO XB/B1/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 8 | 29.0 | 13-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SMART FOLKS A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. VOYAGE SAMURAI, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with SMILING COLLECTOR second and VOLCANIC SPARK third. The winner led throughout. The 3.0 favourite GOLDEN RISE finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN RISE | 22.4% | 4.47 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | VOYAGE SAMURAI | 10.1% | 9.89 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | DOUBLE WIN | 9.8% | 10.25 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 9.7% | 10.31 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | MR GOOD VIBES | 8.3% | 12.08 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | SETANTA | 7.0% | 14.29 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | INVINCIBLE LUCKY | 6.9% | 14.57 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY | 6.5% | 15.40 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | WINNING HEART | 6.0% | 16.58 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | MR MAESTRO | 5.0% | 20.03 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 4.8% | 20.85 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | FORERUNNER | 2.6% | 38.26 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | BONUS PAL | 1.0% | 99.77 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 83
PLACE
6 45.5
9 30
11 41
QUINELLA
9,11 712.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 224
6,11 283.5
9,11 205.5
FORECAST
9,11 1,296
TIERCE
9,11,6 17,291
TRIO
6,9,11 3,761
FIRST 4
6,8,9,11 6,527
QUARTET
9,11,6,8 162,200
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
2/9 788
2/11 267