Sha Tin · 2024-02-12 · 04:32
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-12 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY TANGO, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1, with GREAT DAYS second and RATTAN WORLD third. The 3.6 favourite RATTAN WORLD finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | HAPPY TANGO B 1.10.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 21.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | GREAT DAYS H/PC/XB K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 5.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | RATTAN WORLD B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 6 | 3.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | E GLORY B1 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 44.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | MILLENNIUM FALCON TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 5 | 5.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | GET THE MONIES B/TT H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 4 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | DEVIL AND GOLD V- B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 9 | 52.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | SWEET DIAMOND TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 14 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | TIMESTORM B-/V1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | THE GOOD DEAL SR/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 13 | 39.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | EASY TWO H/V/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 3 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | SMART LEADER B/XB/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 8 | 6.4 | 5 |
| 13 | 2 | BAYVIEW STAR CP1/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 12 | 111.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 5 | HERO ICON CP1/TT L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 10 | 13.0 | 12 |
| — | 0 | NOBLE ONE A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RATTAN WORLD | 16.4% | 6.11 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | GREAT DAYS | 13.4% | 7.47 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | SWEET DIAMOND | 12.7% | 7.89 | 8 |
| 4 | 13 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 9.9% | 10.15 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | GET THE MONIES | 8.6% | 11.61 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | SMART LEADER | 6.6% | 15.10 | 12 |
| 7 | 10 | HAPPY TANGO | 6.5% | 15.48 | 1 |
| 8 | 5 | HERO ICON | 6.3% | 15.77 | 14 |
| 9 | 8 | TIMESTORM | 5.9% | 16.96 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | EASY TWO | 5.0% | 20.14 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | THE GOOD DEAL | 3.3% | 30.29 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | DEVIL AND GOLD | 2.9% | 34.57 | 7 |
| 13 | 2 | BAYVIEW STAR | 1.5% | 67.52 | 13 |
| 14 | 1 | E GLORY | 1.1% | 88.00 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 214
PLACE
4 17
10 51.5
12 19.5
QUINELLA
10,12 556
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 140
4,12 42.5
10,12 176
FORECAST
10,12 1,127
TIERCE
10,12,4 4,812
TRIO
4,10,12 574
FIRST 4
1,4,10,12 4,027
QUARTET
10,12,4,1 107,389