Sha Tin · 2024-02-12 · 09:19
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-12 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by 1, with GALAXY PATCH second and BUNDLE OF CHARM third. The 1.7 favourite GALAXY PATCH finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE 1.08.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 18.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GALAXY PATCH B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 9 | 1.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | BUNDLE OF CHARM P- A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 11 | 25.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | PACKING TREADMILL SR L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 13 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER H A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 3 | 5.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | INVINCIBLE SAGE A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | FLYING ACE B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 8.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 131.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP/TT H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 2 | 59.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 13 | 55.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | ASTROLOGER SR B Thompson · K L Man | B Thompson | K L Man | 1 | 164.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | WE ARE HERO V/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 4 | 61.0 | 6 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GALAXY PATCH | 43.8% | 2.29 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 10.4% | 9.61 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 9.0% | 11.13 | 8 |
| 4 | 13 | LUCKY ENCOUNTER | 8.2% | 12.18 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | FLYING ACE | 6.3% | 15.86 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | PACKING TREADMILL | 4.7% | 21.44 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 4.2% | 24.06 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 3.6% | 27.94 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | WE ARE HERO | 3.6% | 27.98 | 13 |
| 10 | 3 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 2.4% | 40.95 | 1 |
| 11 | 6 | GOOD LUCK FRIEND | 1.6% | 62.76 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 1.2% | 80.85 | 9 |
| 13 | 12 | ASTROLOGER | 1.1% | 91.20 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 188.5
PLACE
3 36.5
5 10.5
11 52
QUINELLA
3,5 117.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 45
3,11 316
5,11 67.5
FORECAST
3,5 454
TIERCE
3,5,11 4,457
TRIO
3,5,11 526
FIRST 4
1,3,5,11 1,853
QUARTET
3,5,11,1 81,465
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
5/3 1,142
5/5 25