Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2024-02-12 · 17:18

Race 10

Class 2 GOOD 1200m Course A 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.08.97
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE 1.08.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size 6 18.0 1
2 0 GALAXY PATCH B K Teetan · P C Ng 9 1.7 1
3 0 BUNDLE OF CHARM P- A Hamelin · J Size 11 25.0 1-1/2
4 0 PACKING TREADMILL SR L Hewitson · K W Lui 7 25.0 2
5 0 LUCKY ENCOUNTER H A Atzeni · D A Hayes 3 5.5 2
6 0 INVINCIBLE SAGE A Badel · D J Hall 8 16.0 2-3/4
7 0 FLYING ACE B Z Purton · D J Hall 12 15.0 3-1/4
8 0 MAJESTIC KNIGHT B H Bentley · D J Whyte 5 8.7 3-1/4
9 0 REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 10 131.0 3-1/2
10 0 GOOD LUCK FRIEND CP/TT H T Mo · P F Yiu 2 59.0 5
11 0 BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz 13 55.0 5
12 0 ASTROLOGER SR B Thompson · K L Man 1 164.0 5-3/4
13 0 WE ARE HERO V/TT Y L Chung · K L Man 4 61.0 6

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-12 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by 1, with GALAXY PATCH second and BUNDLE OF CHARM third. The 1.7 favourite GALAXY PATCH finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE—2. GALAXY PATCH+1L3. BUNDLE OF CHARM+1.5L4. PACKING TREADMILL+2L5. LUCKY ENCOUNTER+2L6. INVINCIBLE SAGE+2.75L7. FLYING ACE+3.25L8. MAJESTIC KNIGHT+3.25L9. REWARDING TOGETHER+3.5L10. GOOD LUCK FRIEND+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick GALAXY PATCH (43.8%) finished 2nd — the winner HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GALAXY PATCH 43.8% 2.29 2
2 0 INVINCIBLE SAGE 10.4% 9.61 6
3 0 MAJESTIC KNIGHT 9.0% 11.13 8
4 0 LUCKY ENCOUNTER 8.2% 12.18 5
5 0 FLYING ACE 6.3% 15.86 7
6 0 PACKING TREADMILL 4.7% 21.44 4
7 0 BUNDLE OF CHARM 4.2% 24.06 3
8 0 BEAUTY CHARGE 3.6% 27.94 11
9 0 WE ARE HERO 3.6% 27.98 13
10 0 HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE 2.4% 40.95 1
11 0 GOOD LUCK FRIEND 1.6% 62.76 10
12 0 REWARDING TOGETHER 1.2% 80.85 9
13 0 ASTROLOGER 1.1% 91.20 12
GALAXY PATCHINVINCIBLE SAGEMAJESTIC KNIGHTLUCKY ENCOUNTERFLYING ACEPACKING TREADMILLBUNDLE OF CHARMBEAUTY CHARGEWE ARE HEROHOWDEEPISYOURLOVE — wonGOOD LUCK FRIENDREWARDING TOGETHERASTROLOGER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 188.5

PLACE

3 36.5

5 10.5

11 52

QUINELLA

3,5 117.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 45

3,11 316

5,11 67.5

FORECAST

3,5 454

TIERCE

3,5,11 4,457

TRIO

3,5,11 526

FIRST 4

1,3,5,11 1,853

QUARTET

3,5,11,1 81,465

All pools (1 more)

9TH DOUBLE

5/3 1,142

5/5 25