Sha Tin · 2024-02-12 · 06:04
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-12 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WINDCHEATER, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by M Newnham, won by 1-1/4, with MUST GO second and STAR CLUB third. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WINDCHEATER 1.09.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | MUST GO E/P/TT1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 9 | 33.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | STAR CLUB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 8 | 7.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | GOLDEN BULL XB/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 14 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | GLORY ELITE L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 3 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 1 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | SUPER GOLDI K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 4.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | RUN RUN TIMING TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 13 | 4.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | HEARTY WISH B-/TT- Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 10 | 62.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | CALIFORNIA ICON B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 41.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | AUTUMN DELIGHT TT1 K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 2 | 30.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | PATCH OF KINGDOM TT1 M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 12 | 132.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | TELECOM BULLET K De Melo · Y S Tsui | K De Melo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 97.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | LE MAILLOT JAUNE B-/CP1/TT B Thompson · W K Mo | B Thompson | W K Mo | 7 | 193.0 | 23 |
| — | 0 | STRATHBARRY · T P Yung | — | T P Yung | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RUN RUN TIMING | 19.4% | 5.15 | 8 |
| 2 | 2 | SUPER GOLDI | 15.2% | 6.56 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | GOLDEN BULL | 11.4% | 8.79 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | AUTUMN DELIGHT | 10.1% | 9.88 | 11 |
| 5 | 3 | STAR CLUB | 8.9% | 11.19 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | GLORY ELITE | 8.2% | 12.25 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 7.1% | 14.11 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | WINDCHEATER | 6.8% | 14.79 | 1 |
| 9 | 4 | MUST GO | 4.5% | 22.35 | 2 |
| 10 | 9 | TELECOM BULLET | 3.4% | 29.47 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | HEARTY WISH | 2.4% | 40.98 | 9 |
| 12 | 13 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 1.4% | 69.07 | 10 |
| 13 | 8 | LE MAILLOT JAUNE | 0.6% | 173.20 | 14 |
| 14 | 12 | PATCH OF KINGDOM | 0.5% | 186.84 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 35.5
PLACE
3 22.5
4 79
10 16
QUINELLA
4,10 736
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 331.5
3,10 55.5
4,10 228
FORECAST
10,4 1,043
TIERCE
10,4,3 9,520
TRIO
3,4,10 1,397
FIRST 4
3,4,7,10 2,861
QUARTET
10,4,3,7 73,903
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
1/4 876.5
1/10 800.5