沙田 · 2024-02-12 · 06:04
第 4場
2024-02-12沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、M Newnham訓練的WINDCHEATER勝出，贏出1-1/4。MUST GO獲得亞軍；STAR CLUB獲得季軍。頭馬以3.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WINDCHEATER 1.09.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | MUST GO E/P/TT1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 9 | 33.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | STAR CLUB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 8 | 7.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | GOLDEN BULL XB/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 14 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | GLORY ELITE L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 3 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 1 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | SUPER GOLDI K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 4.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | RUN RUN TIMING TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 13 | 4.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | HEARTY WISH B-/TT- Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 10 | 62.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | CALIFORNIA ICON B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 41.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | AUTUMN DELIGHT TT1 K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 2 | 30.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | PATCH OF KINGDOM TT1 M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 12 | 132.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | TELECOM BULLET K De Melo · Y S Tsui | K De Melo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 97.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | LE MAILLOT JAUNE B-/CP1/TT B Thompson · W K Mo | B Thompson | W K Mo | 7 | 193.0 | 23 |
| — | 0 | STRATHBARRY · T P Yung | — | T P Yung | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RUN RUN TIMING | 19.4% | 5.15 | 8 |
| 2 | 2 | SUPER GOLDI | 15.2% | 6.56 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | GOLDEN BULL | 11.4% | 8.79 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | AUTUMN DELIGHT | 10.1% | 9.88 | 11 |
| 5 | 3 | STAR CLUB | 8.9% | 11.19 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | GLORY ELITE | 8.2% | 12.25 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 7.1% | 14.11 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | WINDCHEATER | 6.8% | 14.79 | 1 |
| 9 | 4 | MUST GO | 4.5% | 22.35 | 2 |
| 10 | 9 | TELECOM BULLET | 3.4% | 29.47 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | HEARTY WISH | 2.4% | 40.98 | 9 |
| 12 | 13 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 1.4% | 69.07 | 10 |
| 13 | 8 | LE MAILLOT JAUNE | 0.6% | 173.20 | 14 |
| 14 | 12 | PATCH OF KINGDOM | 0.5% | 186.84 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 35.5
PLACE
3 22.5
4 79
10 16
QUINELLA
4,10 736
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 331.5
3,10 55.5
4,10 228
FORECAST
10,4 1,043
TIERCE
10,4,3 9,520
TRIO
3,4,10 1,397
FIRST 4
3,4,7,10 2,861
QUARTET
10,4,3,7 73,903
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
1/4 876.5
1/10 800.5