沙田 · 2024-02-12 · 08:45
第 9場
2024-02-12沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Avdulla策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CALIFORNIA VOCE勝出，贏出1-1/4。SWEET ENCOUNTER獲得亞軍；MASTER OF FORTUNE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.1倍大熱門SWEET ENCOUNTER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CALIFORNIA VOCE 後段發力 TT 1.34.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 10 | 6.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | SWEET ENCOUNTER 後段發力 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 13 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | MASTER OF FORTUNE 後段發力 B-/PC1/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 2 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | BOURBONAIRE H H Bentley · J Size | H Bentley | J Size | 12 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | ZOOM BOOM 後段發力 XB Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 14 | 28.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | EIGHTEEN CARAT 後段發力 B/XB A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 109.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | SOLEIL FIGHTER XB1 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | HOLY LAKE B/XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 5 | 4.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SILVER UP B/H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 6.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | BRAVEHEARTS XB/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 4 | 87.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | POWERFUL WINGS B B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 7 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | UNBELIEVABLE K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 15.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 4 | HUGE WAVE H1/TT1 K De Melo · K H Ting | K De Melo | K H Ting | 9 | 137.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | I KEEP WINNING 早段領放 P1 H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 11 | 96.0 | 15-1/4 |
| — | 0 | THE HEIR L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 19.3% | 5.18 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | HOLY LAKE | 15.7% | 6.36 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 10.4% | 9.65 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | CALIFORNIA VOCE | 8.8% | 11.42 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | POWERFUL WINGS | 7.4% | 13.43 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 7.4% | 13.47 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | SILVER UP | 6.3% | 15.85 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | UNBELIEVABLE | 6.3% | 15.99 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | HUGE WAVE | 5.5% | 18.16 | 13 |
| 10 | 7 | BOURBONAIRE | 4.9% | 20.34 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | ZOOM BOOM | 4.8% | 20.63 | 5 |
| 12 | 2 | BRAVEHEARTS | 1.4% | 70.56 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | EIGHTEEN CARAT | 1.2% | 85.50 | 6 |
| 14 | 14 | I KEEP WINNING | 0.6% | 180.80 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 66.5
PLACE
1 16.5
5 21
6 31.5
QUINELLA
1,5 134.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 52
1,6 73
5,6 100.5
FORECAST
5,1 309
TIERCE
5,1,6 2,061
TRIO
1,5,6 409
FIRST 4
1,5,6,7 1,584
QUARTET
5,1,6,7 30,689
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,6/1,5,6 1,777
8TH DOUBLE
4/1 28
4/5 251.5