Sha Tin · 2024-02-12 · 08:45
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-12 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CALIFORNIA VOCE, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with SWEET ENCOUNTER second and MASTER OF FORTUNE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite SWEET ENCOUNTER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CALIFORNIA VOCE Closed strongly TT 1.34.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 10 | 6.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | SWEET ENCOUNTER Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 13 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | MASTER OF FORTUNE Closed strongly B-/PC1/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 2 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | BOURBONAIRE H H Bentley · J Size | H Bentley | J Size | 12 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly XB Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 14 | 28.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | EIGHTEEN CARAT Closed strongly B/XB A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 109.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | SOLEIL FIGHTER XB1 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | HOLY LAKE B/XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 5 | 4.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SILVER UP B/H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 6.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | BRAVEHEARTS XB/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 4 | 87.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | POWERFUL WINGS B B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 7 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | UNBELIEVABLE K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 15.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 4 | HUGE WAVE H1/TT1 K De Melo · K H Ting | K De Melo | K H Ting | 9 | 137.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | I KEEP WINNING Led early P1 H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 11 | 96.0 | 15-1/4 |
| — | 0 | THE HEIR L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 19.3% | 5.18 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | HOLY LAKE | 15.7% | 6.36 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | MASTER OF FORTUNE | 10.4% | 9.65 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | CALIFORNIA VOCE | 8.8% | 11.42 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | POWERFUL WINGS | 7.4% | 13.43 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 7.4% | 13.47 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | SILVER UP | 6.3% | 15.85 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | UNBELIEVABLE | 6.3% | 15.99 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | HUGE WAVE | 5.5% | 18.16 | 13 |
| 10 | 7 | BOURBONAIRE | 4.9% | 20.34 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | ZOOM BOOM | 4.8% | 20.63 | 5 |
| 12 | 2 | BRAVEHEARTS | 1.4% | 70.56 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | EIGHTEEN CARAT | 1.2% | 85.50 | 6 |
| 14 | 14 | I KEEP WINNING | 0.6% | 180.80 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 66.5
PLACE
1 16.5
5 21
6 31.5
QUINELLA
1,5 134.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 52
1,6 73
5,6 100.5
FORECAST
5,1 309
TIERCE
5,1,6 2,061
TRIO
1,5,6 409
FIRST 4
1,5,6,7 1,584
QUARTET
5,1,6,7 30,689
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,6/1,5,6 1,777
8TH DOUBLE
4/1 28
4/5 251.5