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Sha Tin · 2024-02-12 · 16:44

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.59
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CALIFORNIA VOCE Closed strongly TT 1.34.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · A S Cruz 10 6.6 1-1/4
2 0 SWEET ENCOUNTER Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size 13 4.1 1-1/4
3 0 MASTER OF FORTUNE Closed strongly B-/PC1/TT M F Poon · P C Ng 2 10.0 2
4 0 BOURBONAIRE H H Bentley · J Size 12 15.0 2-1/2
5 0 ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly XB Y L Chung · D J Whyte 14 28.0 2-1/2
6 0 EIGHTEEN CARAT Closed strongly B/XB A Badel · C S Shum 3 109.0 2-1/2
7 0 SOLEIL FIGHTER XB1 K Teetan · D A Hayes 6 19.0 2-3/4
8 0 HOLY LAKE B/XB A Atzeni · K W Lui 5 4.1 2-3/4
9 0 SILVER UP B/H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 8 6.3 3-1/2
10 0 BRAVEHEARTS XB/TT A Hamelin · J Richards 4 87.0 5-3/4
11 0 POWERFUL WINGS B B Thompson · P F Yiu 7 13.0 6-1/4
12 0 UNBELIEVABLE K C Leung · F C Lor 1 15.0 9
13 0 HUGE WAVE H1/TT1 K De Melo · K H Ting 9 137.0 9-1/2
14 0 I KEEP WINNING Led early P1 H T Mo · T P Yung 11 96.0 15-1/4
— 0 THE HEIR L Hewitson · C Fownes — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-12 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CALIFORNIA VOCE, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with SWEET ENCOUNTER second and MASTER OF FORTUNE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite SWEET ENCOUNTER finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CALIFORNIA VOCE—2. SWEET ENCOUNTER+1.25L3. MASTER OF FORTUNE+2L4. BOURBONAIRE+2.5L5. ZOOM BOOM+2.5L6. EIGHTEEN CARAT+2.5L7. SOLEIL FIGHTER+2.75L8. HOLY LAKE+2.75L9. SILVER UP+3.5L10. BRAVEHEARTS+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick SWEET ENCOUNTER (19.3%) finished 2nd — the winner CALIFORNIA VOCE was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SWEET ENCOUNTER 19.3% 5.18 2
2 0 HOLY LAKE 15.7% 6.36 8
3 0 MASTER OF FORTUNE 10.4% 9.65 3
4 0 CALIFORNIA VOCE 8.8% 11.42 1
5 0 POWERFUL WINGS 7.4% 13.43 11
6 0 SOLEIL FIGHTER 7.4% 13.47 7
7 0 SILVER UP 6.3% 15.85 9
8 0 UNBELIEVABLE 6.3% 15.99 12
9 0 HUGE WAVE 5.5% 18.16 13
10 0 BOURBONAIRE 4.9% 20.34 4
11 0 ZOOM BOOM 4.8% 20.63 5
12 0 BRAVEHEARTS 1.4% 70.56 10
13 0 EIGHTEEN CARAT 1.2% 85.50 6
14 0 I KEEP WINNING 0.6% 180.80 14
SWEET ENCOUNTERHOLY LAKEMASTER OF FORTUNECALIFORNIA VOCE — wonPOWERFUL WINGSSOLEIL FIGHTERSILVER UPUNBELIEVABLEHUGE WAVEBOURBONAIREZOOM BOOMBRAVEHEARTSEIGHTEEN CARATI KEEP WINNING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 66.5

PLACE

1 16.5

5 21

6 31.5

QUINELLA

1,5 134.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 52

1,6 73

5,6 100.5

FORECAST

5,1 309

TIERCE

5,1,6 2,061

TRIO

1,5,6 409

FIRST 4

1,5,6,7 1,584

QUARTET

5,1,6,7 30,689

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,4,6/1,5,6 1,777

8TH DOUBLE

4/1 28

4/5 251.5