Sha Tin · 2024-02-12 · 13:01
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TSUEN WAN GLORY Closed strongly H/TT 1.22.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 8.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | AFFIRM TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 13 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAT HOLLOW E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 7.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MASTER OF LUCK Closed strongly B-/TT H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 1 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SONIC BOOM Closed strongly B/XB/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 6 | 9.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | COMPULSORY Closed strongly B M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 11 | 47.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | KASI FARASI P-/B2 L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 3 | 7.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SPEEDSTAR B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | DRAGON DELIGHT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 7 | 11.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | NORDIC COMBINED Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 12 | 18.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | DIAMOND DIAMOND B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 7.4 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | MULAN B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 10 | 139.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | APEX TOP Led early B L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 14 | 13.0 | 43-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-12 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TSUEN WAN GLORY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by K L Man, won by N, with AFFIRM second and SMART BEAUTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 7.1 favourite BEAT HOLLOW finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 14.7% | 6.79 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 11.7% | 8.53 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAT HOLLOW | 10.9% | 9.22 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SONIC BOOM | 10.7% | 9.39 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | DIAMOND DIAMOND | 8.7% | 11.48 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY | 8.2% | 12.15 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | MASTER OF LUCK | 7.6% | 13.11 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | APEX TOP | 5.6% | 17.70 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | NORDIC COMBINED | 5.4% | 18.63 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | AFFIRM | 5.3% | 18.77 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | SPEEDSTAR | 4.7% | 21.11 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | KASI FARASI | 4.5% | 22.32 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | COMPULSORY | 1.4% | 72.68 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | MULAN | 0.5% | 188.39 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 80.5
PLACE
1 44
12 30
13 25
QUINELLA
1,13 645
QUINELLA PLACE
1,12 203
1,13 231.5
12,13 67
FORECAST
13,1 1,352
TIERCE
13,1,12 14,730
TRIO
1,12,13 1,945
FIRST 4
1,2,12,13 2,265
QUARTET
13,1,12,2 56,086
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/1 716.5
10/13 1,478