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Sha Tin · 2024-02-12 · 17:53

Race 11

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.11
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GIDDY UP Closed strongly H-/TT 1.22.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · J Richards 9 30.0 1/2
2 0 SUPERB KID Closed strongly K De Melo · K W Lui 11 13.0 1/2
3 0 BLUE MARLIN Closed strongly H H Bentley · D J Whyte 5 10.0 3/4
4 0 MAGNIFICENT NINE Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size 7 4.5 1-1/2
5 0 KARMA Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 3 11.0 1-3/4
6 0 TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly XB1 A Atzeni · M Newnham 8 22.0 1-3/4
7 0 QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly K Teetan · P C Ng 6 14.0 2-1/4
8 0 SINBA Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 13 11.0 3
9 0 LESLIE B K C Leung · C W Chang 1 19.0 3-3/4
10 0 E LEGEND M Chadwick · K L Man 4 23.0 4-1/4
11 0 RUN RUN COOL PC L Ferraris · F C Lor 2 41.0 5-1/2
12 0 STORM RIDER K H Chan · D A Hayes 10 3.0 5-1/2
13 0 SUPER WINNER Led early TT M F Poon · C H Yip 12 41.0 8
14 0 JOLLY RULER H L Hewitson · P F Yiu 14 50.0 9
— 0 WINNER METHOD C L Chau · C S Shum — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2024-02-12 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GIDDY UP, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by J Richards, won by 1/2, with SUPERB KID second and BLUE MARLIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite STORM RIDER finished 12th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GIDDY UP—2. SUPERB KID+0.5L3. BLUE MARLIN+0.75L4. MAGNIFICENT NINE+1.5L5. KARMA+1.75L6. TALENTS AMBITION+1.75L7. QUANTUM PATCH+2.25L8. SINBA+3L9. LESLIE+3.75L10. E LEGEND+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick STORM RIDER (25.0%) finished 12th — the winner GIDDY UP was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 STORM RIDER 25.0% 4.01 12
2 0 MAGNIFICENT NINE 14.3% 7.00 4
3 0 BLUE MARLIN 13.4% 7.44 3
4 0 QUANTUM PATCH 10.8% 9.29 7
5 0 KARMA 10.1% 9.92 5
6 0 LESLIE 4.7% 21.05 9
7 0 SUPERB KID 4.5% 22.06 2
8 0 TALENTS AMBITION 3.7% 27.36 6
9 0 SINBA 3.0% 32.79 8
10 0 RUN RUN COOL 2.5% 39.49 11
11 0 GIDDY UP 2.4% 42.27 1
12 0 JOLLY RULER 2.0% 48.79 14
13 0 SUPER WINNER 2.0% 50.20 13
14 0 E LEGEND 1.5% 65.05 10
STORM RIDERMAGNIFICENT NINEBLUE MARLINQUANTUM PATCHKARMALESLIESUPERB KIDTALENTS AMBITIONSINBARUN RUN COOLGIDDY UP — wonJOLLY RULERSUPER WINNERE LEGEND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 307

PLACE

1 29.5

11 37

12 77.5

QUINELLA

11,12 1,839

QUINELLA PLACE

1,11 178

1,12 450

11,12 498.5

FORECAST

12,11 3,998

TIERCE

12,11,1 37,852

TRIO

1,11,12 5,560

FIRST 4

1,11,12,13 5,757

QUARTET

12,11,1,13 229,266

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

3/11 724

3/12 6,445.5

2ND TREBLE

5/3/11 2,729

5/3/12 53,958

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,5,11/1,11,12 417,348

SIX UP

9/4/4/5/3/12 3,742,164

9,11/4,9/4,6/1,5/3,5/11,12 3,139

1 [Z Purton] —

2 [J Size] —